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I explore the use of sets of probability measures as a representation of uncertainty.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern

Machine learning (ML) classification models are increasingly being used in a wide range of applications where it is important that predictions are accompanied by uncertainties, including in climate and earth observation, medical diagnosis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Samuel Bilson , Maurice Cox , Anna Pustogvar , Andrew Thompson

Quantum uncertainty relations are formulated in terms of relative entropy between distributions of measurement outcomes and suitable reference distributions with maximum entropy. This type of entropic uncertainty relation can be applied…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-07 Stefan Floerchinger , Tobias Haas , Ben Hoeber

Quantum multiparameter estimation focuses on the simultaneous inference of multiple parameters in quantum systems through measurement and data processing. Its complexity stems from two key factors: measurement incompatibility and parameter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Bing-Shu Hu , Xiao-Ming Lu

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

We provide a unified and strengthened framework for the product form and the sum form variance-based uncertainty relations by constructing a unified uncertainty relation. In the unified framework, we deduce that the uncertainties of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-24 Xiao Zheng , Shao-Qiang Ma , Guo-Feng Zhang , Heng Fan , Wu-Ming Liu

Uncertainty estimation has been widely studied in medical image segmentation as a tool to provide reliability, particularly in deep learning approaches. However, previous methods generally lack effective supervision in uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Yuzhu Li , An Sui , Fuping Wu , Xiahai Zhuang

Measuring uncertainties in the output of a deep learning method is useful in several ways, such as in assisting with interpretation of the outputs, helping build confidence with end users, and for improving the training and performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Luke Whitbread , Mark Jenkinson

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

Large language models (LLMs) often generate fluent but factually incorrect outputs, known as hallucinations, which undermine their reliability in real-world applications. While uncertainty estimation has emerged as a promising strategy for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pei-Fu Guo , Yun-Da Tsai , Shou-De Lin

This is a brief report on a particular use of measurement-based uncomputation. Though not appealing in performance, it may shed light on optimization techniques in various quantum circuits.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 Panjin Kim , Daewan Han

This book chapter introduces the principles and practical applications of uncertainty quantification in machine learning. It explains how to identify and distinguish between different types of uncertainty and presents methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Hans Weytjens , Wouter Verbeke

Quantifying uncertainty is important for actionable predictions in real-world applications. A crucial part of predictive uncertainty quantification is the estimation of epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as an integral of the product…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter

Deterministic mathematical models, such as those specified via differential equations, are a powerful tool to communicate scientific insight. However, such models are necessarily simplified descriptions of the real world. Generalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Zheyang Shen , Jeremias Knoblauch , Sam Power , Chris. J. Oates

The growing integration of large language models across professional domains transforms how experts make critical decisions in healthcare, education, and law. While significant research effort focuses on getting these systems to communicate…

We give a pedagogical introduction to the generalized uncertainty principle (GUP), by showing how it naturally emerges when the action of gravity is taken into account in measurement processes. We review some physical predictions of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-07 Fabio Scardigli

The Robertson's formulation of the uncertainty relation is the most widely accepted form of the Heisenberg uncertainty relation (HUR). It gets modified when we consider it for entangled particles. But this formulation does not consider the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-29 Harris Varghese , M. Ravendranadhan

We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…

We introduce Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inference (UMUI), a multimodal inference task spanning text, audio, and video, where models must produce calibrated probability estimates of hypotheses conditioned on a premise in any modality or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Dengjia Zhang , Alexander Martin , William Jurayj , Kenton Murray , Benjamin Van Durme , Reno Kriz

Constructive techniques to establish state-independent uncertainty relations for the sum of variances of arbitrary two observables are presented. We investigate the range of simultaneously attainable pairs of variances, which can be applied…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-26 Konrad Szymański , Karol Życzkowski