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There have been two separate lines of work on estimating Ising models: (1) estimating them from multiple independent samples under minimal assumptions about the model's interaction matrix; and (2) estimating them from one sample in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

Entropy measures have become increasingly popular as an evaluation metric for complexity in the analysis of time series data, especially in physiology and medicine. Entropy measures the rate of information gain, or degree of regularity in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-03 Chee Chun Gan , Gerard Learmonth

The identification of the dependent components in multiple data sets is a fundamental problem in many practical applications. The challenge in these applications is that often the data sets are high-dimensional with few observations or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Martin Gölz , Tanuj Hasija , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

A powerful tool is developed for the characterization of chaotic signals. The approach is based on the symbolic encoding of time series (according to their ordinal patterns) combined with the ensuing characterization of the corresponding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-12 Antonio Politi

Humans communicate using systems of interconnected stimuli or concepts -- from language and music to literature and science -- yet it remains unclear how, if at all, the structure of these networks supports the communication of information.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-27 Christopher W. Lynn , Lia Papadopoulos , Ari E. Kahn , Danielle S. Bassett

Functional and effective networks inferred from time series are at the core of network neuroscience. Interpreting their properties requires inferred network models to reflect key underlying structural features; however, even a few spurious…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-22 Leonardo Novelli , Joseph T. Lizier

The inference of an underlying network topology from local observations of a complex system composed of interacting units is usually attempted by using statistical similarity measures, such as Cross-Correlation (CC) and Mutual Information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-03 Nicolás Rubido , Arturo C. Martí , Ezequiel Bianco-Martínez , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista , Cristina Masoller

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

While it is tempting in experimental practice to seek as high a data rate as possible, oversampling can become an issue if one takes measurements too densely. These effects can take many forms, some of which are easy to detect: e.g., when…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Michael Neuder , Elizabeth Bradley , Edward Dlugokencky , James W. C. White , Joshua Garland

The information shared among observables representing processes of interest is traditionally evaluated in terms of macroscale measures characterizing aggregate properties of the underlying processes and their interactions. Traditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Rui A. P. Perdigão

This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Raha Moraffah , Paras Sheth , Mansooreh Karami , Anchit Bhattacharya , Qianru Wang , Anique Tahir , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

The estimation of information measures of continuous distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. In this paper, we analyze estimates of differential entropy in $K$-dimensional Euclidean space,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Georg Pichler , Pablo Piantanida , Günther Koliander

Permutation entropy measures the complexity of deterministic time series via a data symbolic quantization consisting of rank vectors called ordinal patterns or just permutations. The reasons for the increasing popularity of this entropy in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-08 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Piergiulio Tempesta

Observations on the past provide some hints about what will happen in the future, and this can be quantified using information theory. The ``predictive information'' defined in this way has connections to measures of complexity that have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek , Naftali Tishby

Novel method of reconstructing dynamical networks from empirically measured time series is proposed. By examining the variable--derivative correlation of network node pairs, we derive a simple equation that directly yields the adjacency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-09 Zoran Levnajić

It is demonstrated how to generate time series with tailored nonlinearities by inducing well- defined constraints on the Fourier phases. Correlations between the phase information of adjacent phases and (static and dynamic) measures of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-10-21 C. Raeth , I. Laut