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We introduce a new version of dynamic time warping for samples of observed event times that are modeled as time-warped intensity processes. Our approach is devel- oped within a framework where for each experimental unit or subject in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Ana Arribas-Gil , Hans-Georg Müller

Recent advances in signal processing and information theory are boosting the development of new approaches for the data-driven modelling of complex network systems. In the fields of Network Physiology and Network Neuroscience where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Laura Sparacino , Yuri Antonacci , Gorana Mijatovic , Luca Faes

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

Symbolic transfer entropy is a powerful non-parametric tool to detect lead-lag between time series. Because a closed expression of the distribution of Transfer Entropy is not known for finite-size samples, statistical testing is often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

Extensions to various information theoretic quantities used for nonlinear time series analysis are discussed, as well as their relationship to the generalized correlation integral. It is shown that calculating redundancies from the…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Dean Prichard , James Theiler

We develop large sample theory for merged data from multiple sources. Main statistical issues treated in this paper are (1) the same unit potentially appears in multiple datasets from overlapping data sources, (2) duplicated items are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Takumi Saegusa

We describe how to analyze the wide class of non stationary processes with stationary centered increments using Shannon information theory. To do so, we use a practical viewpoint and define ersatz quantities from time-averaged probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stéphane G. Roux , Nicolas Garnier

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Jacob Ayers , Richard Hahnloser , Julia Ulrich , Lothar Sebastian Krapp , Remo Nitschke , Sabine Stoll , Balthasar Bickel , Reinhard Furrer

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

The dynamics of many-body systems can often be captured in terms of only a few relevant variables. Mathematical and numerical approaches exist to identify these variables by exploiting a separation of time scales between slow relevant and…

Information-theoretic quantities, such as entropy, are used to quantify the amount of information a given variable provides. Entropies can be used together to compute the mutual information, which quantifies the amount of information two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-22 Kevin H. Knuth , Deniz Gençağa , William B. Rossow

Measuring conditional dependencies among the variables of a network is of great interest to many disciplines. This paper studies some shortcomings of the existing dependency measures in detecting direct causal influences or their lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-05 Jalal Etesami , Kun Zhang , Negar Kiyavash

Boolean network models of strongly connected modules are capable of capturing the high regulatory complexity of many biological gene regulatory circuits. We study numerically the previously introduced basin entropy, a parameter for the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 P. Krawitz , I. Shmulevich

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Samuel Koovely , Alexandre Bovet

We show that, when music pieces are cast in the form of time series of pitch variations, the concepts and tools of dynamical systems theory can be applied to the analysis of {\it temporal dynamics} in music. (i) Phase space portraits are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 Jean Pierre Boon , Olivier Decroly

Understanding the temporal dependence of precipitation is key to improving weather predictability and developing efficient stochastic rainfall models. We introduce an information-theoretic approach to quantify memory effects in discrete…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-16 Juan De Gregorio , David Sánchez , Raúl Toral

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Empirical complex systems can be characterized not only by pairwise interactions, but also by higher-order (group) interactions influencing collective phenomena, from metabolic reactions to epidemics. Nevertheless, higher-order networks'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-01 Maxime Lucas , Luca Gallo , Arsham Ghavasieh , Federico Battiston , Manlio De Domenico
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