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The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 George Molchan

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the persistence probability for the integrated fractional Brownian motion and the fractionally integrated Brownian motion with parameter $H,$ respectively. For the integrated fractional Brownian motion, we discuss a conjecture…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian

Let $S_n$ be a centered random walk with a finite variance, and define the new sequence $A_n:=\sum_{i=1}^n S_i$, which we call an integrated random walk. We are interested in the asymptotics of $$p_N:=P(\min_{1 \le k \le N} A_k \ge 0)$$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Vladislav Vysotsky

We prove an estimate for the probability that a simple random walk in a simply connected subset A of Z^2 starting on the boundary exits A at another specified boundary point. The estimates are uniform over all domains of a given inradius.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-15 Michael J. Kozdron , Gregory F. Lawler

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a weighted sum of centered i.i.d. random variables X_k does not exceed a constant barrier. For regular random walks, the results follow easily from classical fluctuation theory,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Frank Aurzada , Christoph Baumgarten

We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We introduce and investigate the escape problem for random walkers that may eventually die, decay, bleach, or lose activity during their diffusion towards an escape or reactive region on the boundary of a confining domain. In the case of a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. -F. Rupprecht

In this note, by an elementary use of Girsanov's transform we show that the exit time for either a biased random walk or a drifted Brownian motion on a symmetric interval is stochastically monotone with respect to the drift parameter. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Xi Geng , Greg Markowsky

We derive asymptotics for the quenched probability that a critical branching Brownian motion killed at a small rate in Poissonian obstacles exits a large domain. Results are formulated in terms of the solution to a semilinear partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-18 Jean-Francois Le Gall , Amandine Veber

We study asymptotic properties of the Green metric associated with transient random walks on countable groups. We prove that the rate of escape of the random walk computed in the Green metric equals its asymptotic entropy. The proof relies…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Sébastien Blachère , Peter Haïssinsky , Pierre Mathieu

In this article we consider transient random walks on HNN extensions of finitely generated groups. We prove that the rate of escape w.r.t. some generalised word length exists. Moreover, a central limit theorem with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Lorenz A. Gilch

The survival problem for a diffusing particle moving among random traps is considered. We introduce a simple argument to derive the quenched asymptotics of the survival probability from the Lifshitz tail effect for the associated operator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Ryoki Fukushima

We study a one-dimensional lattice random walk with an absorbing boundary at the origin and a movable partial reflector. On encountering the reflector, at site x, the walker is reflected (with probability r) to x-1 and the reflector is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Daniel ben-Avraham

Suppose we are given the free product V of a finite family of finite or countable sets. We consider a transient random walk on the free product arising naturally from a convex combination of random walks on the free factors. We prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Lorenz A. Gilch

We consider the exit problem for a one-dimensional system with random switching near an unstable equilibrium point of the averaged drift. In the infinite switching rate limit, we show that the exit time satisfies a limit theorem with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yuri Bakhtin , Alexisz Gaál

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm so-called Walk on Moving Spheres was already introduced in the Brownian context. The aim is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ does not exceed a constant barrier up to time $T$ (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Christoph Baumgarten

We prove sharp asymptotic estimates for the rate of escape of the two-dimensional simple random walk conditioned to avoid a fixed finite set. We derive it from asymptotics available for the continuous analogue of this process (cf…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Orphée Collin , Serguei Popov

We provide integral formulae for the Laplace transform of the entrance law of the reflected excursions for symmetric L\'evy processes in terms of their characteristic exponent. For subordinate Brownian motions and stable processes we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Loïc Chaumont , Jacek Małecki
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