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Related papers: Elicitation of Weibull priors

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Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

Prior sensitivity analysis is a fundamental method to check the effects of prior distributions on the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Exploring the posteriors under several alternative priors can be computationally intensive,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Shonosuke Sugasawa

The Weibull distribution, with shape parameter $k>0$ and scale parameter $\lambda>0$, is one of the most popular parametric distributions in survival analysis with complete or censored data. Although inference of the parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Machine Learning (ML) models are often complex and difficult to interpret due to their 'black-box' characteristics. Interpretability of a ML model is usually defined as the degree to which a human can understand the cause of decisions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Simon Kocbek , Primoz Kocbek , Leona Cilar , Gregor Stiglic

The Weibull distribution is a very applicable model for the lifetime data. In this paper, we have investigated inference on the parameters of Weibull distribution based on record values. We first propose a simple and exact test and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Ali Akbar Jafari , Hojatollah Zakerzadeh

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

This report describes an application of artificial intelligence (AI) to the Bayesian analysis of glioblastoma survival data. It has been suggested that AI can be used to construct prior distributions for parameters in Bayesian models rather…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Richard Evans , Max Felland , Susanna Evans , Lindsey Sloan

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

Across the empirical sciences, few statistical procedures rival the popularity of the frequentist t-test. In contrast, the Bayesian versions of the t-test have languished in obscurity. In recent years, however, the theoretical and practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Quentin F. Gronau , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

The progressive censoring scheme has received considerable amount of attention in the last fifteen years. During the last few years joint progressive censoring scheme has gained some popularity. Recently, the authors Mondal and Kundu ("A…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-03 Shuvashree Mondal , Debasis Kundu

Recently, Lee and Cha (2015, `On two generalized classes of discrete bivariate distributions', {\it American Statistician}, 221 - 230) proposed two general classes of discrete bivariate distributions. They have discussed some general…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Debasis Kundu , Vahid Nekoukhou

In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate distributions called the bivariate exponentiated extended Weibull distributions. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. This new class of bivariate distributions contains…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Rasool Roozegar , Ali Akbar Jafari

Probability predictions are essential to inform decision making across many fields. Ideally, probability predictions are (i) well calibrated, (ii) accurate, and (iii) bold, i.e., spread out enough to be informative for decision making.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Adeline P. Guthrie , Christopher T. Franck

We study the problem of eliciting and aggregating probabilistic information from multiple agents. In order to successfully aggregate the predictions of agents, the principal needs to elicit some notion of confidence from agents, capturing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-03 Rafael M. Frongillo , Yiling Chen , Ian A. Kash

In this paper, we are concerned with attributing meaning to the results of a Bayesian analysis for a problem which is sufficiently complex that we are unable to assert a precise correspondence between the expert probabilistic judgements of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Daniel Williamson , Michael Goldstein

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

In this paper, a new bivariate discrete distribution is introduced which called bivariate discrete exponentiated Weibull (BDEW) distribution. Several of its mathematical statistical properties are derived such as the joint cumulative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-15 M. El- Morshedy , A. A. Khalil