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We calibrate and test various variants of field theory models of the interest rate with data from eurodollars futures. A model based on a simple psychological factor are seen to provide the best fit to the market. We make a model…
In this paper a multi-factor generalization of Ho-Lee model is proposed. In sharp contrast to the classical Ho-Lee, this generalization allows for those movements other than parallel shifts, while it still is described by a recombining…
In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We…
This paper considers general term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We give a general model starting from families of forward rates driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and…
This study deals with the pricing and hedging of single-tranche collateralized debt obligations (STCDOs). We specify an affine two-factor model in which a catastrophic risk component is incorporated. Apart from being analytically tractable,…
Affine term structure models have gained significant attention in the finance literature, mainly due to their analytical tractability and statistical flexibility. The aim of this article is to present both theoretical foundations as well as…
We develop an arbitrage-free random field LIBOR market model to price cross-currency derivatives. The uncertainty of the forward LIBOR rates of our cross-currency model is driven by a two time parameter random field instead of a finite…
We investigate the joint description of the interest-rate term stuctures of Italy and an AAA-rated European country by mean of a --here proposed-- correlated CIR-like bivariate model where one of the state variables is interpreted as a…
L\'evy driven term structure models have become an important subject in the mathematical finance literature. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the L\'evy driven Heath-Jarrow-Morton type term structure equation. This includes a…
The recent "correlation breakdown" in the modeling of credit default swaps, in which model correlations had to exceed 100% in order to reproduce market prices of supersenior tranches, is analyzed and argued to be a fundamental market…
We introduce here for the first time the long-term swap rate, characterised as the fair rate of an overnight indexed swap with infinitely many exchanges. Furthermore we analyse the relationship between the long-term swap rate, the long-term…
In this paper, we consider a generic interest rate market in the presence of roll-over risk, which generates spreads in spot/forward term rates. We do not require classical absence of arbitrage and rely instead on a minimal market viability…
In this paper we present a rigorously motivated pricing equation for derivatives, including general cash collateralization schemes, which is consistent with quoted market bond prices. Traditionally, there have been differences in how…
From the point of view of stochastic analysis the Caputo and Riemann-Liouville derivatives of order $\al \in (0,2)$ can be viewed as (regularized) generators of stable L\'evy motions interrupted on crossing a boundary. This interpretation…
A new class of generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations (GBDSDEs in short) driven by Teugels martingales associated with L\'evy process are investigated. We establish a comparison theorem which allows us to derive an…
We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit…
We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…
We provide an algebraic framework to describe renormalization in regularity structures based on multi-indices for a large class of semi-linear stochastic PDEs. This framework is ``top-down", in the sense that we postulate the form of the…
Pricing and hedging exotic options using local stochastic volatility models drew a serious attention within the last decade, and nowadays became almost a standard approach to this problem. In this paper we show how this framework could be…
Forward-looking correlations are of interest in different financial applications, including factor-based asset pricing, forecasting stock-price movements or pricing index options. With a focus on non-FX markets, this paper defines necessary…