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Related papers: The semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem

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We consider the problem of estimation in Hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric emission distributions. Efficient estimators for the transition matrix are exhibited, and a semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Daniel Moss , Judith Rousseau

We prove a Bernstein-von Mises theorem for a general class of high dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems in the vanishing noise limit. We propose a sufficient condition on the growth rate of the number of unknown parameters under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-06 Yulong Lu

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We continue the investigation of Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes procedures from [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028]. We introduce multiscale spaces on which nonparametric priors and posteriors are naturally defined,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

We consider the statistical inverse problem of recovering an unknown function $f$ from a linear measurement corrupted by additive Gaussian white noise. We employ a nonparametric Bayesian approach with standard Gaussian priors, for which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-20 Matteo Giordano , Hanne Kekkonen

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

We consider an infinite-dimensional Gaussian regression model, equipped with a high-dimensional Gaussian prior. We address the frequentist validity of posterior credible sets for a vector of linear functionals. We specify conditions for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Gustav Rømer

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-31 Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

A functional Bernstein - von Mises theorem is proved for posterior measures arising in a data assimilation problem with the two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equation where a Gaussian process prior is assigned to the initial condition of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Dimitri Konen , Richard Nickl

There has been significant progress in Bayesian inference based on sparsity-inducing (e.g., spike-and-slab and horseshoe-type) priors for high-dimensional regression models. The resulting posteriors, however, in general do not possess…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Qihui Chen , Zheng Fang , Ruixuan Liu

The celebrated Bernstein von-Mises theorem ensures that credible regions from Bayesian posterior are well-calibrated when the model is correctly-specified, in the frequentist sense that their coverage probabilities tend to the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Bas Kleijn , Bartek Knapik

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

The Bernstein-von Mises theorem (BvM) gives conditions under which the posterior distribution of a parameter $\theta\in\Theta\subseteq\mathbb R^d$ based on $n$ independent samples is asymptotically normal. In the high-dimensional regime, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Anya Katsevich

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala