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For a stochastic process reset at random times, we discuss to what extent the probabilities of some orderings of observables associated with the intervals of time between resetting events are universal, i.e., independent of the choice of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-28 Claude Godrèche

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

In this paper, we derive an explicit sample size formula based a mixed criterion of absolute and relative errors for estimating means of Poisson random variables.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-21 Xinjia Chen

This paper presents an iterative method suitable for inverting semilinear problems which are important kernels in many numerical applications. The primary idea is to employ a parametrization that is able to reduce semilinear problems into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Prosper Torsu

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

We propose an Extended Hybrid High-Order scheme for the Poisson problem with solution possessing weak singularities. Some general assumptions are stated on the nature of this singularity and the remaining part of the solution. The method is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Liam Yemm

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

The optimization of mixed-variable problems remains a significant challenge. We propose an extension of the policy-based optimization method that handles mixed-variables problems in a natural way, through a simple policy combination. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Jonathan Viquerat

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. Its mean and variance are known, but results for its median and mode are difficult to obtain, although a few cases have been solved and upper/lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-28 S. R. Mane

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

The robust Poisson method is becoming increasingly popular when estimating the association of exposures with a binary outcome. Unlike the logistic regression model, the robust Poisson method yields results that can be interpreted as risk or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Denis Talbot , Miceline Mésidor , Yohann Chiu , Marc Simard , Caroline Sirois

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

By exploiting the well-known observation that size-biasing or zero-biasing an infinitely divisible random variable may be achieved by adding an independent increment, combined with tools from Stein's method for compound Poisson and Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Fraser Daly

Recently, it has been shown how sampling actions from the predictive distribution over the optimal action-sometimes called Thompson sampling-can be applied to solve sequential adaptive control problems, when the optimal policy is known for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-09-24 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

This is a survey paper on Poisson approximation using Stein's method of exchangeable pairs. We illustrate using Poisson-binomial trials and many variations on three classical problems of combinatorial probability: the matching problem, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis , Elizabeth Meckes

In this paper we deal with the classical problem of random cover times. We investigate the distribution of the time it takes for a Poisson process of cylinders to cover a set $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d.$ This Poisson process of cylinders is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Erik I. Broman , Filipe Mussini