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This paper is devoted to rejective sampling. We provide an expansion of joint inclusion probabilities of any order in terms of the inclusion probabilities of order one, extending previous results by H\'ajek (1964) and H\'ajek (1981) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Hélène Boistard , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Anne Ruiz-Gazen

A new unequal probability sampling method is proposed. This method is sequential. The decision to select or not each unit is made based on the order in which the units appear. A variant of this method allows selecting a sample from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Bardia Panahbehagh , Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

We study the probability that a random polynomial with integer coefficients is reducible when factored over the rational numbers. Using computer-generated data, we investigate a number of different models, including both monic and non-monic…

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

We provide non-asymptotic bounds for first and higher order inclusion probabilities of the rejective sampling model with various size parameters. Further we derive bounds in the semi-definite ordering for matrices that collect (conditional)…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Simon Ruetz , Karin Schnass

A number of writers have supposed that for the full specification of belief, higher order probabilities are required. Some have even supposed that there may be an unending sequence of higher order probabilities of probabilities of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Henry E. Kyburg

In many applications in biology, engineering and economics, identifying similarities and differences between distributions of data from complex processes requires comparing finite categorical samples of discrete counts. Statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Francesco Camaglia , Ilya Nemenman , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

We present new sampling methods in finite population that allow to control the joint inclusion probabilities of units and especially the spreading of sampled units in the population. They are based on the use of renewal chains and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité , Matthieu Wilhelm

The probability density quantile (pdQ) carries essential information regarding shape and tail behavior of a location-scale family. Convergence of repeated applications of the pdQ mapping to the uniform distribution is investigated and new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Robert Staudte , Aihua Xia

For a sequence of nonnegative random variables, we provide simple necessary and sufficient conditions to ensure that each sequence of its forward convex combinations converges in probability to the same limit. These conditions correspond to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-04 Constantinos Kardaras , Gordan Zitkovic

When sampling multi-modal probability distributions, correctly estimating the relative probability of each mode, even when the modes have been discovered and locally sampled, remains challenging. We test a simple reweighting scheme designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Pierre Monmarché

This article investigates the difference between the true detection probability and the subjective probability of a uniformly optimal search plan. Its main contributions are multi-fold. First, it provides a set of examples to show that, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Liang Hong

In this article, we develop efficient sampling algorithms for random surjections from $[n]$ to $[k]$ for all $n \geq k$. We make no assumption about $n$ and $k$. In particular, we do not make the common assumption that the ratio…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Arnaud Carayol , Pablo Rotondo

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

We revisit the classical result in finite population sampling which states that in equally-likely "simple" random sampling the sample mean is more reliable when we do not replace after each draw. In this paper we investigate if and when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Daniel Q. Naiman , Fred Torcaso

We give an overview of statistical models and likelihood, together with two of its variants: penalized and hierarchical likelihood. The Kullback-Leibler divergence is referred to repeatedly, for defining the misspecification risk of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-01 Daniel Commenges

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

A classical problem in statistics is estimating the expected coverage of a sample, which has had applications in gene expression, microbial ecology, optimization, and even numismatics. Here we consider a related extension of this problem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Jerrad Hampton , Manuel E. Lladser

In this paper, we provide an explicit probability distribution for classification purposes. It is derived from the Bayesian nonparametric mixture of Dirichlet process model, but with suitable modifications which remove unsuitable aspects of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-05 Ruth Fuentes-Garcia , Ramses H Mena , Stephen G Walker
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