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The full-phase infrared light curves of low-eccentricity hot Jupiters show a trend of increasing fractional dayside-nightside brightness temperature difference with increasing incident stellar flux, both averaged across the infrared and in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-19 Thaddeus D. Komacek , Adam P. Showman , Xianyu Tan

We analyze the timing and extent of Northern European temperature falls during the Little Ice Age, using standard temperature reconstructions. However, we can find little evidence of temporal dependence or structural breaks in European…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 Morgan Kelly , Cormac Ó Gráda

The mean North American and world climates have warmed significantly since the beginning of climatologically significant anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases in the 19th Century. It has been suggested that warming may increase the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-06-03 T. Muschinski , J. I. Katz

There is argument as to the extent to which there has been an increase over the past few decades in the frequency of the extremes of climatic parameters, such as temperature, storminess, precipitation, etc, an obvious point being that…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 A. D. Erlykin , B. A. Laken , A. W. Wolfendale

Seasonal climate forecasts are being used increasingly across a range of application sectors. A recent UK governmental report asked: How good are seasonal climate forecasts on a scale of 1-5 (where 5 is very good), and how good can we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-15 Antje Weisheimer , T. N. Palmer

Global warming arises from 'temperature forcing', a net imbalance between energy fluxes entering and leaving the climate system and arising within it. Humanity introduces temperature forcing through greenhouse gas emissions, agriculture,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-12-12 Nick E. B. Cowern , Chihak Ahn

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

Monthly instrumental temperature records from 5 stations in the northern hemisphere are analyzed, each of which is local and over 200 years in length, as well as two reconstructed long-range yearly records - from a stalagmite and from tree…

General Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 Horst-Joachim Lüdecke

Instabilities and long term shifts in seasons, whether induced by natural drivers or human activities, pose great disruptive threats to ecological, agricultural, and social systems. Here, we propose, measure, and explore two fundamental…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-17 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Lewis Mitchell , Andrew J. Reagan , Christopher M. Danforth

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta

This article discusses the limits of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory advocated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A phenomenological theory of climate change based on the physical properties of the data themselves is…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

The importance of the sea ice retreat in the polar regions for the global warming and the role of ice-albedo feedback was recognized by various authors [1,2]. Similar to a recent study of the phenomenon in the Arctic [3] we present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Werner Marx , Robin Haunschild , Lutz Bornmann

Recurrence plot based time series analysis is widely used to study changes and transitions in the dynamics of a system or temporal deviations from its overall dynamical regime. However, most studies do not discuss the significance of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-06-05 Norbert Marwan , Stefan Schinkel , Jürgen Kurths

In our previous paper "No experimental evidence for the significant anthropogenic climate change" we had a reference to this paper. Thus, we have presented a new theory: how Henry's Law regulates the concentration of CO$_2$ in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jyrki Kauppinen , Pekka Malmi

The increasing frequency of extreme temperature events, such as daily maximum temperature ($T_x$) records, underscores the need for robust tools to understand their drivers and predict their occurrence. Previous studies have identified…

We analyse the impact of temperature on the diffusion coefficient of an inertial Brownian particle moving in a symmetric periodic potential and driven by a symmetric time-periodic force. Recent studies have revealed the low friction regime…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-28 I. G. Marchenko , V. Aksenova , I. I. Marchenko , J. Łuczka , J. Spiechowicz

We present a new statistical method to optimally link local weather extremes to large-scale atmospheric circulation structures. The method is illustrated using July-August daily mean temperature at 2m height (T2m) time-series over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-04 Debabrata Panja , Frank M. Selten

The variation in the Arctic sea ice is dominated by the seasonal cycle with little inter-annual correlation. Though the mean sea ice area has decreased steadily in the period of satellite observations, a dramatic transition in the dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-20 Peter D. Ditlevsen