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Related papers: Persistent collective trend in stock markets

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We quantitatively investigate the ideas behind the often-expressed adage `it takes volume to move stock prices', and study the statistical properties of the number of shares traded $Q_{\Delta t}$ for a given stock in a fixed time interval…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , Vasiliki Plerou , Xavier Gabaix , H. Eugene Stanley

Large and stable indices of the world wide stock markets such as NYSE and SP 500 together with NASDAQ -- the index representing markets of new trends, and WIG -- the index of the local stock market of Eastern Europe, are considered. Due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Danuta Makowiec

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-15 Roberto Ortiz , Mauricio Contreras , Marcelo Villena

We analyze the constituents stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA30) and the Standard & Poor's 100 index (S&P100) of the NYSE stock exchange market. Surprisingly, we discover the data collapse of the histograms of the DJIA30…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-13 Rui Gonçalves , Alberto Pinto

Applicability of the concept of financial log-periodicity is discussed and encouragingly verified for various phases of the world stock markets development in the period 2000-2010. In particular, a speculative forecasting scenario designed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Josef Speth

Several authors have noticed the signature of log-periodic oscillations prior to large stock market crashes [cond-mat/9509033, cond-mat/9510036, Vandewalle et al 1998]. Unfortunately good fits of the corresponding equation to stock market…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Hans-Christian v. Bothmer , Christian Meister

We present an outlook of the studies on correlations in the price timeseries of stocks, discussing the construction and applications of "asset tree". The topic discussed here should illustrate how the complex economic system (financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Anirban Chakraborti

To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Thomas Forss , Peter Sarlin

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-06 Yu-Lei Wan , Gang-Jin Wang , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

We analyse the dependence of stock return cross-correlations on the sampling frequency of the data known as the Epps effect: For high resolution data the cross-correlations are significantly smaller than their asymptotic value as observed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

We analyze the hitting time distributions of stock price returns in different time windows, characterized by different levels of noise present in the market. The study has been performed on two sets of data from US markets. The first one is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo , Giovanni Bonanno

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

In this paper, we quantitatively investigate the statistical properties of a statistical ensemble of stock prices. We selected 1200 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and formed a statistical ensemble of daily stock prices for each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Taisei Kaizoji

Using the peer-exposure ratio, we explore the factor exposure heterogeneity in green and brown stocks. By looking at peer groups of S&P 500 index firms over 2014-2020 based on their greenhouse gas emission levels, we find that, on average,…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-21 David Ardia , Keven Bluteau , Gabriel Lortie-Cloutier , Thien-Duy Tran

Starting from the characterization of the past time evolution of market prices in terms of two fundamental indicators, price velocity and price acceleration, we construct a general classification of the possible patterns characterizing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. V. Andersen , S. Gluzman , D. Sornette

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Characterizing temporal evolution of stock markets is a fundamental and challenging problem. The literature on analyzing the dynamics of the markets has focused so far on macro measures with less predictive power. This paper addresses this…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-12-09 Xin-Jian Xu , Qin Min , Xiao-Ying Song , Li-Jie Zhang

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters