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We study the problem of estimating a temporally varying coefficient and varying structure (VCVS) graphical model underlying nonstationary time series data, such as social states of interacting individuals or microarray expression profiles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-12-21 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in temporal and adaptive networks. Building on the activity-driven network model, we propose an adaptive model of epidemic processes, where the network topology…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado , Naoki Masuda

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto

Spatial networks, in which nodes and edges are embedded in space, play a vital role in the study of complex systems. For example, many social networks attach geo-location information to each user, allowing the study of not only topological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Nicholas D. Larusso , Brian E. Ruttenberg , Ambuj Singh

Learning a graph topology to reveal the underlying relationship between data entities plays an important role in various machine learning and data analysis tasks. Under the assumption that structured data vary smoothly over a graph, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Xingyue Pu , Tianyue Cao , Xiaoyun Zhang , Xiaowen Dong , Siheng Chen

This paper addresses the problem of traffic prediction in distributed backend systems and proposes a graph neural network based modeling approach to overcome the limitations of traditional models in capturing complex dependencies and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Zhimin Qiu , Feng Liu , Yuxiao Wang , Chenrui Hu , Ziyu Cheng , Di Wu

Signal processing and machine learning algorithms for data supported over graphs, require the knowledge of the graph topology. Unless this information is given by the physics of the problem (e.g., water supply networks, power grids), the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Alberto Natali , Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus

In this work, we explore the state-space formulation of a network process to recover, from partial observations, the underlying network topology that drives its dynamics. To do so, we employ subspace techniques borrowed from system…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-26 Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Takanori Maehara , Geert Leus

We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Spatio-temporal processes often exhibit highly heterogeneous and non-intuitive responses to localized disruptions, limiting the effectiveness of conventional message passing approaches in modeling local heterogeneity. We reformulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abeer Mostafa , Raneen Younis , Zahra Ahmadi

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

We introduce a model of the diffusion of an epidemic with demographically heterogeneous agents interacting socially on a spatially structured network. Contagion-risk averse agents respond behaviorally to the diffusion of the infections by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-13 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this paper, I study epidemic diffusion in a generalized spatial SEIRD model, where individuals are initially connected in a social or geographical network. As the virus spreads in the network, the structure of interactions between people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-23 Giorgio Fagiolo

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro