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One-sided confidence intervals are presented for the average of non-identical Bernoulli parameters. These confidence intervals are expressed as analytical functions of the total number of Bernoulli games won, the number of rounds and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Jean-Daniel Bancal , Pavel Sekatski

In this note we present an algorithm to obtain a uniform lower bound on Hausdorff dimension of the stationary measure of an affine iterated function scheme with similarities, the best known example of which is Bernoulli convolution. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Victor Kleptsyn , Mark Pollicott , Polina Vytnova

We derive two upper bounds for the probability of deviation of a vector-valued Lipschitz function of a collection of random variables from its expected value. The resulting upper bounds can be tighter than bounds obtained by a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Dimitrios Katselis , Xiaotian Xie , Carolyn L. Beck , R. Srikant

We consider a standard binary classification problem. The performance of any binary classifier based on the training data is characterized by the excess risk. We study Bahadur's type exponential bounds on the minimax accuracy confidence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-29 N. I. Pentacaput

We present some new and explicit error bounds for the approximation of distributions. The approximation error is quantified by the maximal density ratio of the distribution $Q$ to be approximated and its proxy $P$. This non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Jon Wellner

A permutation array(or code) of length $n$ and distance $d$, denoted by $(n,d)$ PA, is a set of permutations $C$ from some fixed set of $n$ elements such that the Hamming distance between distinct members $\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y}\in C$ is at…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-01-28 Lizhen Yang , Ling Dong , Kefei Chen

We study long-range Bernoulli percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ in which each two vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected by an edge with probability $1-\exp(-\beta \|x-y\|^{-d-\alpha})$. It is a theorem of Noam Berger (CMP, 2002) that if…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Tom Hutchcroft

We provide new upper and lower bounds on the minimum possible ratio of the spectral and Frobenius norms of a (partially) symmetric tensor. In the particular case of general tensors our result recovers a known upper bound. For symmetric…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Khazhgali Kozhasov , Josué Tonelli-Cueto

The paper focuses on general properties of parametric minimum contrast estimators. The quality of estimation is measured in terms of the rate function related to the contrast, thus allowing to derive exponential risk bounds invariant with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Yuri Golubev , Vladimir Spokoiny

It is well known that estimating the expectation of any given bounded random variable with values in $[-B, B]$ has a sample complexity of $\mathrm{O}(B^2/\epsilon^2)$ that is independent of the underlying probability measure. We show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Yan Li

The {\lambda}-exponential family has recently been proposed to generalize the exponential family. While the exponential family is well-understood and widely used, this it not the case of the {\lambda}-exponential family. However, many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Thomas Guilmeau , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

One can consider $\mu$-Martin-L\"of randomness for a probability measure $\mu$ on $2^{\omega}$, such as the Bernoulli measure $\mu_p$ given $p \in (0, 1)$. We study Bernoulli randomness of sequences in $n^{\omega}$ with parameters $p_0,…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Andrew DeLapo

A finite-support constraint on the parameter space is used to derive a lower bound on the error of an estimator of the correlation coefficient in the bivariate exponential distribution. The bound is then exploited to examine optimality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 W. J. Szajnowski

A collection of $n$ random events is said to be $(n - 1)$-wise independent if any $n - 1$ events among them are mutually independent. We characterise all probability measures with respect to which $n$ random events are $(n - 1)$-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Karthik Natarajan , Arjun Kodagehalli Ramachandra , Colin Tan

Let X_1,..., X_n be independent Bernoulli random variables and $f$ a function on {0,1}^n. In the well-known paper (Talagrand1994) Talagrand gave an upper bound for the variance of f in terms of the individual influences of the X_i's. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-27 Demeter Kiss

The problem of testing two simple hypotheses in a general probability space is considered. For a fixed type-I error probability, the best exponential decay rate of the type-II error probability is investigated. In regular asymptotic cases…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Marat V. Burnashev

Given a stream of Bernoulli random variables, consider the problem of estimating the mean of the random variable within a specified relative error with a specified probability of failure. Until now, the Gamma Bernoulli Approximation Scheme…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Mark Huber

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

For the basic maximum likelihood estimating function of the two parameters Weibull distribution, a simple proof on its global monotonicity is given to ensure the existence and uniqueness of its solution. The boundary of the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-04 DeTao Mao , Wenyuan Li

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas