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In this paper, we consider the nonasymptotic sequential estimation of means of random variables bounded in between zero and one. We have rigorously demonstrated that, in order to guarantee prescribed relative precision and confidence level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

In classical extreme value theory probabilities of extreme events are estimated assuming all the components of a random vector to be in a domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. In contrast, the conditional extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

In this paper we obtain non-uniform exponential upper bounds for the rate of convergence of a version of the algorithm Context, when the underlying tree is not necessarily bounded. The algorithm Context is a well-known tool to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Antonio Galves , Florencia Leonardi

For a regression model, we consider the risk of the maximum likelihood estimator with respect to $\alpha$-divergence, which includes the special cases of Kullback-Leibler divergence, Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$ divergence. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Yo Sheena

We consider bond and site Bernoulli Percolation in both the oriented and the non-oriented cases on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ and obtain rigorous upper bounds for the critical points in those models for every dimension $d \geq 3$.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Pablo A. Gomes , Alan Pereira , Remy Sanchis

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

It is shown that the ability of the interval probability representation to capture epistemological independence is severely limited. Two events are epistemologically independent if knowledge of the first event does not alter belief (i.e.,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Lonnie Chrisman

The Bernoulli convolution $\nu_\lambda$ with parameter $\lambda\in(0,1)$ is the probability measure supported on $\mathbf{R}$ that is the law of the random variable $\sum\pm\lambda^n$, where the $\pm$ are independent fair coin-tosses. We…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Péter P. Varjú

Estimating the parameters from $k$ independent Bin$(n,p)$ random variables, when both parameters $n$ and $p$ are unknown, is relevant to a variety of applications. It is particularly difficult if $n$ is large and $p$ is small. Over the past…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Laura Fee Schneider , Thomas Staudt , Axel Munk

We introduce new method for generating correlated or uncorrelated Bernoulli random variables by using the binary expansion of a continuous random variable with support on the unit interval. We show that when this variable has a symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Francisco Marcos de Assis , Juliana Martins de Assis , Micael Andrade Dias

In this article we derive the best possible upper bound for $E[\max{X_i}-\min_i{X_i}]$ under given means and variances on $n$ random variables $X_i$. The random vector $(X_1,...,X_n)$ is allowed to have any dependence structure, provided $E…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-18 Nickos Papadatos

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100($1-\alpha)%$ HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

The belief network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independences in a joint probability distribution. The methods, which perform probabilistic inference in belief networks, often treat the conditional probabilities…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

From known effective bounds on the prime counting function of the form \[ |\pi(x)-\mathrm{Li}(x)| < a \;x \;(\ln x)^{b} \; \exp\left(-{c}\; \sqrt{\ln x}\right); \qquad (x \geq x_0); \] it is possible to establish exponentially tight…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Matt Visser

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

A characterization of the exponential distribution based on equidistribution conditions for maxima of random samples with consecutive sizes n-1 and n for an arbitrary and fixed n>2 is proved. This solves an open problem stated recently in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

In this paper, we are concerned with Jacobi polynomials $P_n^{(\alpha,\beta)}(x)$ on the Bernstein ellipse with motivation mainly coming from recent studies of convergence rate of spectral interpolation. An explicit representation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Haiyong Wang , Lun Zhang

Let $\{X_t\}_{t\geq 0 }$ be a $d$-dimensional supercritical super-Brownian motion started from the origin with branching mechanism $\psi$. Denote by $R_t:=\inf\{r>0:X_s(\{x\in \mathbb{R}^d:|x|\geq r\})=0,~\forall~0\leq s\leq t\}$ the radius…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Shuxiong Zhang

In this paper we prove exponential inequalities (also called Bernstein's inequality) for fractional martingales. As an immediate corollary, we will discuss weak law of large numbers for fractional martingales under divergence assumption on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-20 Bruno Saussereau
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