English
Related papers

Related papers: On the Exponential Probability Bounds for the Bern…

200 papers

Many axiomatic definitions of entropy, such as the R\'enyi entropy, of a random variable are closely related to the $\ell_{\alpha}$-norm of its probability distribution. This study considers probability distributions on finite sets, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-06 Yuta Sakai , Ken-ichi Iwata

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-07-23 Andreas Maurer , Massimiliano Pontil

We study statistical estimation under local differential privacy (LDP) when users may hold heterogeneous privacy levels and accuracy must be guaranteed with high probability. Departing from the common in-expectation analyses, and for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Fallah , Swaha Roy , Ria Stevens

A new upper bound on the relative entropy is derived as a function of the total variation distance for probability measures defined on a common finite alphabet. The bound improves a previously reported bound by Csisz\'ar and Talata. It is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Igal Sason , Sergio Verdu

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We consider the problem of modulation and estimation of a random parameter $U$ to be conveyed across a discrete memoryless channel. Upper and lower bounds are derived for the best achievable exponential decay rate of a general moment of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

We provide an upper bound as a random variable for the functions of estimators in high dimensions. This upper bound may help establish the rate of convergence of functions in high dimensions. The upper bound random variable may converge…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-07 Mehmet Caner , Xu Han

We give an exponential upper bound on the probabilitywith which the denominator of the $n$th convergent in the regular continued fraction expansion stays away from the mean $\frac{n\pi^2}{12\log2}$. The exponential rate is best possible,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Hiroki Takahasi

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We give exponential upper bounds for $P(S \le k)$, in particular $P(S=0)$, where $S$ is a sum of indicator random variables that are positively associated. These bounds allow, in particular, a comparison with the independent case. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov

Let $X$ be a random variable distributed according to the binomial distribution with parameters $n$ and $p$. It is shown that $P(X>EX)\ge1/4$ if $1>p\ge c/n$, where $c:=\ln(4/3)$, the best possible constant factor.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Iosif Pinelis

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Nero Budur , Botong Wang

The main aim of this article is to characterize and investigate the three parameter exponentiated exponential Poisson probability distribution ${\rm EEP}(\alpha, \beta, \lambda)$ by giving explicit closed form expressions for its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Tibor K Pogány

In this paper we derive sharp lower and upper bounds for the covariance of two bounded random variables when knowledge about their expected values, variances or both is available. When only the expected values are known, our result can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Ola Hössjer , Arvid Sjölander

We derive upper bounds on the tail conditional expectation of binomial and Poisson random variables. Those upper bounds are subsequently employed to the problem of obtaining non-asymptotic lower bounds on the probability that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Christos Pelekis

The Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) is a quantity that plays a key role in variational inference. It can also be used as a criterion in model selection. However, though extremely popular in practice in the variational Bayes community, there has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

This papers contains two results concerning random $n \times n$ Bernoulli matrices. First, we show that with probability tending to one the determinant has absolute value $\sqrt {n!} \exp(O(\sqrt(n log n)))$. Next, we prove a new upper…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-07-01 Terence Tao , Van Vu

In this paper, we address the probabilistic error quantification of a general class of prediction methods. We consider a given prediction model and show how to obtain, through a sample-based approach, a probabilistic upper bound on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Victor Mirasierra , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Teodoro Alamo