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We propose a mathematical model to measure how multiple repetitions may influence in the ultimate proportion of the population never hearing a rumor during a given outbreak. The model is a multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chain that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Alejandra Rada , Cristian F. Coletti , Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

We investigate rumor spreading in a generalized Maki-Thompson model with spontaneous stifling, evolving on quasi-transitive networks. Individuals are either ignorants, spreaders, or stiflers; spreaders stop by contact with other spreaders…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Nancy Lopes Garcia , Denis Araujo Luiz , Daniel Miranda Machado

We study a general stochastic rumour model in which an ignorant individual has a certain probability of becoming a stifler immediately upon hearing the rumour. We refer to this special kind of stifler as an uninterested individual. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Elcio Lebensztayn , Fábio P. Machado , Pablo M. Rodríguez

We propose a rumor propagation model in which individuals within a homogeneously mixed population can assume one of infinitely many possible states. To analyze this model, we extend the classical law of large numbers for density-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Cristian F. Coletti , Denis A. Luiz , Alejandra Rada

The final proportion of ignorants in the classical Maki--Thompson rumour model is known to satisfy the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, and the large deviation principle. In this note, we establish the corresponding moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Shaochen Wang , Guangyu Yang

Sudbury (1985) showed for the Maki-Thompson model of rumour spreading that the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to a limiting constant (approximately equal to 0.203) as the population size tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Yuchen Duan , Ayalvadi Ganesh , University of Bristol

We examine a general stochastic rumor model characterized by specific parameters that govern the interaction rates among individuals. Our model includes the \((\alpha, p)\)-probability variants of the well-known Daley--Kendall and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-11 Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

In this paper we study the Maki-Thompson rumor model on infinite Cayley trees. The basic version of the model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals: ignorants,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

The Maki-Thompson rumor model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals; namely, ignorants, spreaders and stiflers. A spreader tells the rumor to any of its nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

Rumor spreading is a ubiquitous phenomenon in social and technological networks. Traditional models consider that the rumor is propagated by pairwise interactions between spreaders and ignorants. Spreaders can become stiflers only after…

In this work we propose a new extension for the Maki-Thompson rumor model which incorporates inter-group directed contacts. The model is defined on an homogeneously mixing population where the existence of two differentiated groups of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Carolina Grejo , Pablo M. Rodriguez

We propose a model of rumor spreading in which susceptible, but skeptically oriented individuals may oppose the rumor. Resistance may be implemented either by skeptical activists trying to convince spreaders to stop their activity, becoming…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Marco Antonio Amaral , Jeferson J. Arenzon

We consider the stochastic model for the propagation of a rumour within a population which was formulated by Maki and Thompson. Sudbury established that, as the population size tends to infinity, the proportion of the population never…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Elcio Lebensztayn

We consider the Maki-Thompson model for the stochastic propagation of a rumour within a population. We extend the original hypothesis of homogenously mixed population by allowing for a small-world network embedding the model. This structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Elena Agliari , Angelica Pachon , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Flavia Tavani

Rumor and information spreading are natural processes that emerge from human-to-human interaction. Mathematically, this was explored in the popular Maki-Thompson model, where a phase transition was thought to be absent. Here, we show that a…

We study four discrete time stochastic systems on $\bbN$ modeling processes of rumour spreading. The involved individuals can either have an active or a passive role, speaking up or asking for the rumour. The appetite in spreading or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Fabio P. Machado , Mauricio Zuluaga

Randomized rumor spreading processes diffuse information on an undirected graph and have been widely studied. In this work, we present a generic framework for analyzing a broad class of such processes on regular graphs. Our analysis is…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Charlotte Out , Nicolás Rivera , Thomas Sauerwald , John Sylvester

This short note contains a few comments and corrections about some recent models for the spread of rumors in a population. We consider a system of ordinary differential equations which describes the evolution of Ignorant-Spreaders-Stiflers…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Alberto Ragagnin

We study two rumor processes on $\N$, the dynamics of which are related to an SI epidemic model with long range transmission. Both models start with one spreader at site $0$ and ignorants at all the other sites of $\N$, but differ by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia , Valdivino Vargas Junior , Pablo M. Rodríguez

We study the dynamics and intervention strategies of a rumor using the modified Maki-Thompson model. A key challenge in social networks is distinguishing between natural increases in transmissibility and artificial injections of rumor…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-11 Eva Rifà , Julian Vicens , Emanuele Cozzo
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