Related papers: Universal Fluctuations of AEX index
For every positive integer N and every $\alpha\in [0,1)$, let $B(N, \alpha)$ denote the probabilistic model in which a random set $A\subset \{1,\dots,N\}$ is constructed by choosing independently every element of $\{1,\dots,N\}$ with…
A formalism is presented to obtain closed evolution equations for asymptotic probability distribution functions of turbulence magnitudes. The formalism is derived for a generic evolution equation, so that the final result can be easily…
We use the replica method of statistical mechanics to examine a typical performance of correctly reconstructing $N$-dimensional sparse vector $bx=(x_i)$ from its linear transformation $by=bF bx$ of $P$ dimensions on the basis of…
We extend a result of Lyons (2016) from fractional tiling of finite graphs to a version for infinite random graphs. The most general result is as follows. Let $\bf P$ be a unimodular probability measure on rooted networks $(G, o)$ with…
The so-called Pareto-Levy or power-law distribution has been successfully used as a model to describe probabilities associated to extreme variations of worldwide stock markets indexes data and it has the form $Pr(X>x) ~ x**(-alpha) for…
We derive normal approximation bounds for generalized $U$-statistics of the form \begin{equation*} S_{n,k}(f):=\sum_{ 1 \leq \beta (1),\dots,\beta (k) \leq n \atop \beta (i)\ne\beta (j), \ 1\leq i\ne j \leq k} f\big(X_{\beta…
In this paper, we study the Black-Litterman (BL) asset allocation model (Black and Litterman, 1990) under the hidden truncation skew-normal distribution (Arnold and Beaver, 2000). In particular, when returns are assumed to follow this skew…
This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation for the Ewens--Pitman partition with parameters $0<\alpha<1$ and $\theta>-\alpha$. Especially, we show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of $\alpha$ is…
The probability distribution of stock price changes is studied by analyzing a database (the Trades and Quotes Database) documenting every trade for all stocks in three major US stock markets, for the two year period Jan 1994 -- Dec 1995. A…
The Spectral Form Factor (SFF) measures the fluctuations in the density of states of a Hamiltonian. We consider a generalization of the SFF called the Loschmidt Spectral Form Factor, $\textrm{tr}[e^{iH_1T}]\textrm{tr} [e^{-iH_2T}]$, for…
We show that if the $\alpha$-attractor model is realized by the spontaneous breaking of the scale symmetry, then the stability and the dynamics of the vector field that gauges the scale symmetry can severely constrain the $\alpha$-parameter…
The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a financial signal, i.e. the S&P500 and the turbulent nature of the markets are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive statistics and leading to evolution…
The standard Black-Scholes theory of option pricing is extended to cope with underlying return fluctuations described by general probability distributions. A Langevin process and its related Fokker-Planck equation are devised to model the…
Exact formulas are derived for the probability density functions of the sum and difference of two independent non-central gamma distributed random variables, with both series and integral representations of the density presented. These…
We study averages of multiplicative eigenvalue statistics in ensembles of orthogonal Haar distributed matrices, which can alternatively be written as Toeplitz+Hankel determinants. We obtain new asymptotics for symbols with Fisher-Hartwig…
Complex systems often involve random fluctuations for which self-similar properties in space and time play an important role. Fractional Brownian motions, characterized by a single scaling exponent, the Hurst exponent $H$, provide a…
In this paper we have introduced a generalized version of alpha beta skew normal distribution in the same line of Sharafi et al. (2017) and investigated some of its basic properties. The extensions of the proposed distribution have also…
We analyze the famous Wolf's sunspot numbers. We discovered that the distribution of the sunspot number fluctuations is a mixture of the BHP distribution with the Gaussian distribution.
For $n$ assets and discrete-time rebalancing, the probability to complete a given schedule of investments and withdrawals is maximized over progressively measurable portfolio weight functions. Applications consider two assets, namely the…
We compute analytically the probability of large fluctuations to the left of the mean of the largest eigenvalue in the Wishart (Laguerre) ensemble of positive definite random matrices. We show that the probability that all the eigenvalues…