Related papers: Universal Fluctuations of AEX index
The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular…
We present a general procedure for obtaining the present density fluctuation probability distribution given the statistics of the initial conditions. The main difficulties faced with regard to this problem are those related to the…
Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…
We study the Heston model, where the stock price dynamics is governed by a geometrical (multiplicative) Brownian motion with stochastic variance. We solve the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation exactly and, after integrating out the…
By optimal fluctuation method, we study short-time distribution $P(\mathcal{A}=A)$ of the functionals, $\mathcal{A}=\int_{0}^{t_f} x^n(t) dt$, along constrained trajectories of random acceleration process for a given time duration $t_f$,…
The equation of state with quantum statistics corrections is used for particle number fluctuations $\omega$ of isotopically symmetric nuclear matter with interparticle van der Waals and Skyrme local density interactions. The fluctuations,…
The Beta Rank Function (BRF) $x(u) =A(1-u)^b/u^a$, where $u$ is the normalized and continuous rank of an observation $x$, has wide applications in fitting real-world data from social science to biological phenomena. The underlying…
The goal of this expository article is a fairly self-contained account of some averaging processes of functions along sequences of the form $(\alpha^n x)^{}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$, where $\alpha$ is a fixed real number with $| \alpha | > 1$ and…
We show that time-dependent fluctuations $\{\Delta x\}$ in foreign exchange rates are accurately described by a random walk in a complex plane that is demarcated into the gain (+) and loss (-) sectors. $\{\Delta x\}$ is the outcome of $N$…
We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with…
We examine the asymmetric simple exclusion process with open boundaries, a paradigm of driven diffusive systems, having a nonequilibrium steady state transition. We provide a full derivation and expanded discussion and digression on results…
Random integers, sampled uniformly from $[1,x]$, share similarities with random permutations, sampled uniformly from $S_n$. These similarities include the Erd\H{o}s--Kac theorem on the distribution of the number of prime factors of a random…
In this paper histograms of user ratings for movies (1,...,10) are analysed. The evolving stabilised shapes of histograms follow the rule that all are either double- or triple-peaked. Moreover, at most one peak can be on the central bins…
We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent,…
This paper is concerned with particle filtering for $\alpha$-stable stochastic volatility models. The $\alpha$-stable distribution provides a flexible framework for modeling asymmetry and heavy tails, which is useful when modeling financial…
We consider random vectors drawn from a multivariate normal distribution and compute the sample statistics in the presence of non-stationary correlations. For this purpose, we construct an ensemble of random correlation matrices and average…
Fluctuations of global additive quantities, like total energy or magnetization for instance, can in principle be described by statistics of sums of (possibly correlated) random variables. Yet, it turns out that extreme values (the largest…
The paper investigates the rich class of Generalized Tempered Stable distribution, an alternative to Normal distribution and the $\alpha$-Stable distribution for modelling asset return and many physical and economic systems. Firstly, we…
The paper assesses stationary probability distributions in out of equilibrium systems. In the phenomenology proposed, no free energy can be well defined. Fluctuations of Landau free energy couplings arise when the intrinsic chemical…
The optimal allocation of assets has been widely discussed with the theoretical analysis of risk measures, and pessimism is one of the most attractive approaches beyond the conventional optimal portfolio model. The $\alpha$-risk plays a…