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We consider random vectors drawn from a multivariate normal distribution and compute the sample statistics in the presence of non-stationary correlations. For this purpose, we construct an ensemble of random correlation matrices and average…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-17 Desislava Chetalova , Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

The multifractal structure of the temporal dependence of the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) is analyzed. The $q$-th order moments of the structure functions and the singular measures are calculated. The generalized Hurst exponent $H(q)$ and the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

The probability distribution of stock price changes is studied by analyzing a database (the Trades and Quotes Database) documenting every trade for all stocks in three major US stock markets, for the two year period Jan 1994 -- Dec 1995. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , Martin Meyer , Luis A Nunes Amaral , H Eugene Stanley

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

We derive the representative Bernstein measure of the density of $(X_{\alpha})^{-\alpha/(1-\alpha)}, 0 < \alpha < 1$, where $X_{\alpha}$ is a positive stable random variable, as a Fox-H function. When $1-\alpha = 1/j$ for some integer $j…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-13 Nizar Demni

We investigate the large-fluctuation dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after the large fluctuations is characterized by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-21 X. F. Jiang , T. T. Chen , B. Zheng

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Tomasz J. Kozubowski , Andrey Sarantsev , James A. Spiker

We determine the inner product on the Hilbert space of wavefunctions of the universe by imposing the Hermiticity of the quantum Hamiltonian in the context of the minisuperspace model. The corresponding quantum probability density reproduces…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-01-05 Alex Kehagias , Hervé Partouche , Nicolaos Toumbas

The so-called Pareto-Levy or power-law distribution has been successfully used as a model to describe probabilities associated to extreme variations of worldwide stock markets indexes data and it has the form $Pr(X>x) ~ x**(-alpha) for…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 H. F. Coronel-Brizio , A. R. Hernandez-Montoya

An analytical formula for the probability distribution of stock-market returns, derived from the Heston model assuming a mean-reverting stochastic volatility, was recently proposed by Dragulescu and Yakovenko in Quantitative Finance 2002.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

Given a probability density $P({\bf x}|{\boldsymbol \lambda})$, where $\bf x$ represents continuous degrees of freedom and $\lambda$ a set of parameters, it is possible to construct a general identity relating expectations of observable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-12 Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

I propose a modification of the spherical infall model for the evolution of density fluctuations with initially Gaussian probability distribution and scale-free power spectra in Einstein-de Sitter universe as developed by Hoffman & Shaham.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ewa L. Lokas

We introduce a multiple testing procedure that controls the median of the proportion of false discoveries (FDP) in a flexible way. The procedure only requires a vector of p-values as input and is comparable to the Benjamini-Hochberg method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Jesse Hemerik , Aldo Solari , Jelle J Goeman

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 James P. Gleeson

In the setting of multiple testing, compound p-values generalize p-values by asking for superuniformity to hold only \emph{on average} across all true nulls. We study the properties of the Benjamini--Hochberg procedure applied to compound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J Samworth

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

Complex systems comprise a large number of interacting elements, whose dynamics is not always a priori known. In these cases -- in order to uncover their key features -- we have to turn to empirical methods, one of which was recently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Janos Kertesz , Zoltan Eisler

The density matrix formalism is a fundamental tool in studying various problems in quantum information processing. In the space of density matrices, the most well-known measures are the Hilbert-Schmidt and Bures-Hall ensembles. In this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-26 Lu Wei , Nicholas Witte

In the context of Brans--Dicke theories, eternal inflation is described in such a way that the evolution of the inflaton field is determined by the value of the Planck mass in different regions of the universe. The Planck mass is given by…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Mikel Susperregi