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Negative information often exerts a disproportionately strong impact on human decision-making, a phenomenon known as the negativity bias. In behavioral economics, this effect is formally captured by Prospect Theory, which posits that losses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-25 Maciej Doniec , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron , Federico Vazquez

Limited overlap between treated and control groups is a key challenge in observational analysis. Standard approaches like trimming importance weights can reduce variance but introduce a fundamental bias. We propose a sensitivity framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Yuanzhe Ma , Yian Huang , Hongseok Namkoong

We investigate an averaging process that describes how interacting agents approach consensus through binary interactions. In each elementary step, two agents are selected at random and they reach compromise by adopting their opinion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Plotting a learner's average performance against the number of training samples results in a learning curve. Studying such curves on one or more data sets is a way to get to a better understanding of the generalization properties of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Marco Loog , Tom Viering , Alexander Mey

In the presence of model risk, it is well-established to replace classical expected values by worst-case expectations over all models within a fixed radius from a given reference model. This is the "robustness" approach. We show that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-07 Thomas Kruse , Judith C. Schneider , Nikolaus Schweizer

The reversing symmetry group is a well-studied extension of the symmetry group of a dynamical system, the latter being defined by the action of a single homeomorphism on a topological space. While it is traditionally considered in nonlinear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Michael Baake

A common concern with Bayesian methodology in scientific contexts is that inferences can be heavily influenced by subjective biases. As presented here, there are two types of bias for some quantity of interest: bias against and bias in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Michael Evans , Yang Guo

The theory of regular model sets is highly developed, but does not cover examples such as the visible lattice points, the k-th power-free integers, or related systems. They belong to the class of weak model sets, where the window may have a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Michael Baake , Christian Huck , Nicolae Strungaru

One of the fundamental principles driving diversity or homogeneity in domains such as cultural differentiation, political affiliation, and product adoption is the tension between two forces: influence (the tendency of people to become…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-28 David Kempe , Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren , Aleksandrs Slivkins

In the age of technology, individuals accelerate their biased gathering of information which in turn leads to a population becoming extreme and more polarized. Here we study a partial differential equation model for opinion dynamics that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-08 Christian Koertje , Hiroki Sayama

This paper proposes two intuitive metrics, skew and stereotype, that quantify and analyse the gender bias present in contextual language models when tackling the WinoBias pronoun resolution task. We find evidence that gender stereotype…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Daniel de Vassimon Manela , David Errington , Thomas Fisher , Boris van Breugel , Pasquale Minervini

A social network is often divided into many factions. People are friends within each faction, while they are enemies of the other factions, and even my enemy's enemy is not necessarily my friend. This configuration can be described in terms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-18 Minwoo Bae , Takashi Shimada , Seung Ki Baek

We study pattern formation in the bounded confidence model of opinion dynamics. In this random process, opinion is quantified by a single variable. Two agents may interact and reach a fair compromise, but only if their difference of opinion…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-11-06 E. Ben-Naim , A. Scheel

When a subgroup is identified from the data, it must be evaluated in a replicable way. The usual in-sample approach, which evaluates the post-hoc identified subgroup as predefined, might suffer from selection bias. This issue of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Shuoxun Xu , Xinzhou Guo

This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-14 Si Chen

Homophily is the seemingly ubiquitous tendency for people to connect and interact with other individuals who are similar to them. This is a well-documented principle and is fundamental for how society organizes. Although many social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Nate Veldt , Austin R. Benson , Jon Kleinberg

We explore a method to influence or even control the diversity of opinions within a polarised social group. We leverage the voter model in which users hold binary opinions and repeatedly update their beliefs based on others they connect…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Antoine Vendeville , Benjamin Guedj , Shi Zhou

Counterfactual reasoning is an important paradigm applicable in many fields, such as healthcare, economics, and education. In this work, we propose a novel method to address the issue of \textit{selection bias}. We learn two groups of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Zichen Zhang , Qingfeng Lan , Lei Ding , Yue Wang , Negar Hassanpour , Russell Greiner

Machine learning model bias can arise from dataset composition: correlated sensitive features can distort the downstream classification model's decision boundary and lead to performance differences along these features. Existing de-biasing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Miao Zhang , Zee fryer , Ben Colman , Ali Shahriyari , Gaurav Bharaj

Neutrosophic Statistics means statistical analysis of population or sample that has indeterminate (imprecise, ambiguous, vague, incomplete, unknown) data. For example, the population or sample size might not be exactly determinate because…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-10 Florentin Smarandache