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We propose a realistic generalization of the Maki-Thompson rumour model by assuming that each spreader ceases to propagate the rumour right after being involved in a random number of stifling experiences. We consider the process with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Elcio Lebensztayn , Fábio P. Machado , Pablo M. Rodríguez

We propose a mathematical model to measure how multiple repetitions may influence in the ultimate proportion of the population never hearing a rumor during a given outbreak. The model is a multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chain that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Alejandra Rada , Cristian F. Coletti , Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

The Maki-Thompson rumor model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals; namely, ignorants, spreaders and stiflers. A spreader tells the rumor to any of its nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

We investigate rumor spreading in a generalized Maki-Thompson model with spontaneous stifling, evolving on quasi-transitive networks. Individuals are either ignorants, spreaders, or stiflers; spreaders stop by contact with other spreaders…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Nancy Lopes Garcia , Denis Araujo Luiz , Daniel Miranda Machado

We examine a general stochastic rumor model characterized by specific parameters that govern the interaction rates among individuals. Our model includes the \((\alpha, p)\)-probability variants of the well-known Daley--Kendall and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-11 Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

In this paper we study the Maki-Thompson rumor model on infinite Cayley trees. The basic version of the model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals: ignorants,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

Rumor spreading is a ubiquitous phenomenon in social and technological networks. Traditional models consider that the rumor is propagated by pairwise interactions between spreaders and ignorants. Spreaders can become stiflers only after…

We consider the stochastic model for the propagation of a rumour within a population which was formulated by Maki and Thompson. Sudbury established that, as the population size tends to infinity, the proportion of the population never…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Elcio Lebensztayn

We consider an interacting particle system representing the spread of a rumor by agents on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. Each agent may be in any of the three states belonging to the set {0,1,2}. Here 0 stands for ignorants, 1 for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cristian F. Coletti , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We propose a rumor propagation model in which individuals within a homogeneously mixed population can assume one of infinitely many possible states. To analyze this model, we extend the classical law of large numbers for density-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Cristian F. Coletti , Denis A. Luiz , Alejandra Rada

Sudbury (1985) showed for the Maki-Thompson model of rumour spreading that the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to a limiting constant (approximately equal to 0.203) as the population size tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Yuchen Duan , Ayalvadi Ganesh , University of Bristol

The vertices of a tree represent individuals in one of three states: ignorant, spreader, or stifler. A spreader transmits the rumor to any of its nearest ignorant neighbors at rate one. At the same rate, a spreader becomes a stifler after…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Jhon F. Puerres , Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez

The final proportion of ignorants in the classical Maki--Thompson rumour model is known to satisfy the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, and the large deviation principle. In this note, we establish the corresponding moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Shaochen Wang , Guangyu Yang

We introduce the generalized rumor spreading model and investigate some properties of this model on different complex social networks. Despite pervious rumor models that both the spreader-spreader ($SS$) and the spreader-stifler ($SR$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-26 Yaghoob Naimi , Mohammad Naimi

We study four discrete time stochastic systems on $\bbN$ modeling processes of rumour spreading. The involved individuals can either have an active or a passive role, speaking up or asking for the rumour. The appetite in spreading or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Fabio P. Machado , Mauricio Zuluaga

We consider the Maki-Thompson model for the stochastic propagation of a rumour within a population. We extend the original hypothesis of homogenously mixed population by allowing for a small-world network embedding the model. This structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Elena Agliari , Angelica Pachon , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Flavia Tavani

We propose a model of rumor spreading in which susceptible, but skeptically oriented individuals may oppose the rumor. Resistance may be implemented either by skeptical activists trying to convince spreaders to stop their activity, becoming…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Marco Antonio Amaral , Jeferson J. Arenzon

Junior, Machado and Zuluaga (2011) studied a model to understand the spread of a rumour. Their model consists of individuals situated at the integer points of the line $\N$. An individual at the origin $0$ starts a rumour and passes it to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Farkhondeh Alsadat Sajadi , Rahul Roy

This short note contains a few comments and corrections about some recent models for the spread of rumors in a population. We consider a system of ordinary differential equations which describes the evolution of Ignorant-Spreaders-Stiflers…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Alberto Ragagnin

This paper discusses a simple stochastic model for the spread of messages in a large population with two types of individuals: transmitters and receivers. Transmitters, after receiving the message, start spreading copies of the message to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Pekka Aalto , Lasse Leskelä
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