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Recruitment dynamics, or the distribution of the number of offspring among individuals, is central for understanding ecology and evolution. Sweepstakes reproduction (heavy right-tailed offspring number distribution) is central for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Bjarki Eldon

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Ruairi Garrett , Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

Coalescent processes, including mutation, are derived from Moran type population models admitting large offspring numbers. Including mutation in the coalescent process allows for quantifying the turnover of alleles by computing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Bjarki Eldon

We define and analyze a coalescent process as a recursive box-filling process whose genealogy is given by an ancestral time-reversed, time-inhomogeneous Bienyam\'{e}-Galton-Watson process. Special interest is on the expected size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

The Wright-Fisher process with selection is an important tool in population genetics theory. Traditional analysis of this process relies on the diffusion approximation. The diffusion approximation is usually studied in a partial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-30 Joshua G. Schraiber

The Moran discrete process and the Wright-Fisher modelare the most popular models in population genetics. It is common tounderstand the dynamics of these models to use an approximating diffusionprocess, called Wright-Fisher diffusion. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Gorgui Gackou , A Guillin , Arnaud Personne

In a series of recent works it has been shown that a class of simple models of evolving populations under selection leads to genealogical trees whose statistics are given by the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent rather than by the well known…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 Éric Brunet , Bernard Derrida

The Wright-Fisher model and the Moran model are both widely used in population genetics. They describe the time evolution of the frequency of an allele in a well-mixed population with fixed size. We propose a simple and tractable model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 Arthur Alexandre , Alia Abbara , Cecilia Fruet , Claude Loverdo , Anne-Florence Bitbol

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We investigate the behaviour of the genealogy of a Wright-Fisher population model under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect. More precisely, we consider a simple seed-bank age distribution with two atoms, leading to either classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt

We establish convergence to the Kingman coalescent for the genealogy of a geographically - or otherwise - structured version of the Wright-Fisher population model with fast migration. The new feature is that migration probabilities may…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-25 Serik Sagitov , Peter Jagers , Vladimir Vatutin

Effective population size characterizes the genetic variability in a population and is a parameter of paramount importance in population genetics. Kingman's coalescent process enables inference of past population dynamics directly from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Mandev S. Gill , Philippe Lemey , Shannon N. Bennett , Roman Biek , Marc A. Suchard

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

We define a multi-type coalescent point process of a general branching process with finitely many types. This multi-type coalescent fully describes the genealogy of the (quasi-stationary) standing population, providing types along ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Lea Popovic , Mariolys Rivas

Wright-Fisher diffusions describe the evolution of the type composition of an infinite haploid population with two types (say type $0$ and type $1$) subject to neutral reproductions, and possibly selection and mutations. In the present…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Grégoire Véchambre

The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion takes values in the infinite ordered simplex and extends the celebrated infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, having a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet stationary distribution. Here we identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Robert C. Griffiths , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò , Youzhou Zhou

The measure-valued Fleming-Viot process is a diffusion which models the evolution of allele frequencies in a multi-type population. In the neutral setting the Kingman coalescent is known to generate the genealogies of the "individuals" in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Andreas Greven , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anita Winter

The evolving Kingman coalescent is the tree-valued process which records the time evolution undergone by the genealogies of Moran populations. We consider the associated process of total external tree length of the evolving Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Iulia Dahmer , Götz Kersting

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer