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The upper tail problem in a random graph asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph in an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph exceeds its expectation by some constant factor. There has been much exciting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Yang P. Liu , Yufei Zhao

What does an Erdos-Renyi graph look like when a rare event happens? This paper answers this question when p is fixed and n tends to infinity by establishing a large deviation principle under an appropriate topology. The formulation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

The upper tail problem in a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph asks for the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph exceeds its expected value by a constant factor. We study the analogous problem for oriented subgraphs in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Jiyun Park

We propose an approach to calculate the critical percolation threshold for finite-sized Erdos-Renyi digraphs using minimal Hamiltonian cycles. We obtain an analytically exact result, valid non-asymptotically for all graph sizes, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-12 Michelle Rudolph-Lilith , Lyle E. Muller

Upper exponential inequalities for the tail probabilities of the centered and normalized number of triangles in the Erd\"{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph are obtained, where the probability of every edge is fixed. The result is formulated in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Alexander Bystrov , Nadezhda Volodko

We prove a moderate deviation principle for subgraph count statistics of Erdos-Renyi random graphs. This is equivalent in showing a moderate deviation principle for the trace of a power of a Bernoulli random matrix. It is done via an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-31 Hanna Döring , Peter Eichelsbacher

We identify the scaling limit of random intersection graphs inside their critical windows. The limit graphs vary according to the clustering regimes, and coincide with the continuum Erdos--Renyi graph in two out of the three regimes. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Minmin Wang

We provide large deviations estimates for the upper tail of the number of triangles in scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs where the degrees have power law tails with index $-\alpha, \alpha \in (1,2)$. We show that upper tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Clara Stegehuis , Bert Zwart

For any fixed simple graph $H=(V,E)$ and any fixed $u>0$, we establish the leading order of the exponential rate function for the probability that the number of copies of $H$ in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graph $G(n,p)$ exceeds its expectation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

We consider the question of determining the probability of triangle count deviations in the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $G(n,m)$ and $G(n,p)$ with densities larger than $n^{-1/2}(\log{n})^{1/2}$. In particular, we determine the log…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-13 José D. Alvarado , Leonardo Gonçalves de Oliveira , Simon Griffiths

We consider the multi-parameter random simplicial complex as a higher dimensional extension of the classical Erd\"os-R\'enyi graph. We investigate appearance of "unusual" topological structures in the complex from the point of view of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Takashi Owada

We develop a quantitative large deviations theory for random hypergraphs, which rests on tensor decomposition and counting lemmas under a novel family of cut-type norms. As our main application, we obtain sharp asymptotics for joint upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo , Huy Tuan Pham

The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Nicholas A. Cook , Nguyen Nguyen

In this paper, we prove a local limit theorem for the distribution of the number of triangles in the Erdos-Renyi random graph $G(n,p)$, where $p \in (0,1)$ is a fixed constant. Our proof is based on bounding the characteristic function…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Justin Gilmer , Swastik Kopparty

A recent result of Eden, Levi, and Ron (ECCC 2015) provides a sublinear time algorithm to estimate the number of triangles in a graph. Given an undirected graph $G$, one can query the degree of a vertex, the existence of an edge between…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-05-11 C. Seshadhri

Starting with the large deviation principle (LDP) for the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi binomial random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ (edge indicators are i.i.d.), due to Chatterjee and Varadhan (2011), we derive the LDP for the uniform random graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Amir Dembo , Eyal Lubetzky

General upper tail estimates are given for counting edges in a random induced subhypergraph of a fixed hypergraph H, with an easy proof by estimating the moments. As an application we consider the numbers of arithmetic progressions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Svante Janson , Andrzej Rucinski

Correlation analysis is a fundamental problem in statistics. In this paper, we consider the correlation detection problem between a pair of Erdos-Renyi graphs. Specifically, the problem is formulated as a hypothesis testing problem: under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Dong Huang , Pengkun Yang

Let $X$ count the number of $r$-stars in the random binomial graph $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$. We determine, for fixed $r$ and $\varepsilon > 0$, the asymptotics of $\log \mathbb{P}(X \ge (1 + \varepsilon)\mathbb{E} X)$ assuming only $\mathbb{E} X…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Margarita Akhmejanova , Matas Šileikis

Let $N_{\triangle}(G)$ be the number of triangles in a graph $G$. In [14] and [25] (respectively) the following bounds were proved on the lower tail behaviour of triangle counts in the dense Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $G_m\sim G(n,m)$:…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-03 José Alvarado , Gabriel Dias , Simon Griffiths
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