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Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

In this paper, we present criteria for non-exponential ergodicity of continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. These criteria can be verified by examining the ratio of transition rates over certain paths. We applied this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Minjoon Kim , Jinsu Kim

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

The expansion of global production networks has raised many important questions about the interdependence among countries and how future changes in the world economy are likely to affect the countries' positioning in global value chains. We…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-20 Olivera Kostoska , Viktor Stojkoski , Ljupco Kocarev

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic process obtained by random switching between a finite collection of vector fields. Such processes have recently been the focus of much attention in the case where the switching times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Tobias Hurth , Edouard Strickler

We consider a finite state discrete time process X. Without loss of generality the finite state space can be identified with the set of unit vectors {e1, e2, . . . , eN} with ei = (0, . . . , 0, 1, 0, . . . , 0)0 2 RN. For a Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Robert J. Elliott

The first goal of the present paper is to study residualities of the set of uniform $P$-ergodic Markov semigroups defined on abstract state spaces by means of a generalized Dobrushin ergodicity coefficient. In the last part of the paper, we…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Nazife Erkurşun-Özcan , Farrukh Mukhamedov

The use of higher-order stochastic processes such as nonlinear Markov chains or vertex-reinforced random walks is significantly growing in recent years as they are much better at modeling high dimensional data and nonlinear dynamics in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Dario Fasino , Francesco Tudisco

This paper aims to provide some tools coming from functional inequalities to deal with quasi-stationarity for absorbed Markov processes. First, it is shown how a Poincar\'e inequality related to a suitable Doob transform entails exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-29 William Oçafrain

We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Michel Benaïm , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

In this two-part paper, we consider multicomponent systems in which each component can iteratively exchange information with other components in its neighborhood in order to compute, in a distributed fashion, the average of the components'…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-09-30 Nitin H. Vaidya , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Alejandro D. Dominguez-Garcia

This paper gathers together different conditions which are all equivalent to geometric ergodicity of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general state spaces. A total of 34 different conditions are presented (27 for general chains plus 7 just…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 M. A. Gallegos-Herrada , D. Ledvinka , J. S. Rosenthal

We analyze opportunistic schemes for transmission scheduling from one of $n$ homogeneous queues whose channel states fluctuate independently. Considered schemes consist of the LCQ policy, which transmits from a longest connected queue in…

Performance · Computer Science 2008-10-02 Murat Alanyali , Maxim Dashouk

This report documents recent technical work on developing and validating stochastic occupancy models in commercial buildings, performed by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) as part of the Sensor Impact Evaluation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Soumya Kundu , Saptarshi Bhattacharya , Himanshu Sharma , Veronica Adetola

A Markov process fluctuating away from its typical behavior can be represented in the long-time limit by another Markov process, called the effective or driven process, having the same stationary states as the original process conditioned…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We establish the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary and quasi-ergodic measures for almost surely absorbed discrete-time Markov chains under weak conditions. We obtain our results by exploiting Banach lattice properties of…