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Financial data are as a rule asymmetric, although most econometric models are symmetric. This applies also to continuous-time models for high-frequency and irregularly spaced data. We discuss some asymmetric versions of the continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Kathrin Mayr

A concept of quantum stochastic convolution cocycle is introduced and studied in two different contexts -- purely algebraic and operator space theoretic. A quantum stochastic convolution cocycle is a quantum stochastic process on a…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Adam Skalski

Although stochastic volatility and GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have successfully described the volatility dynamics of univariate asset returns, extending them to the multivariate models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-09 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

Paradoxically, while the assumptions of second-order stationarity and isotropy appear outdated in light of modern spatial data, they remain remarkably robust in practice, as nonstationary methods often provide marginal improvements in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Federico Blasi , Reinhard Furrer

We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly

When considering the problem of forecasting a continuous-time stochastic process over an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past, the notion of Autoregressive Hilbert space processes (ARH) arises. This model can be seen as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Jairo Cugliari

For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Jiří Dvořák , Jesper Møller , Tomáš Mrkvička , Samuel Soubeyrand

We revisit processes generated by iterated random functions driven by a stationary and ergodic sequence. Such a process is called strongly stable if a random initialization exists, for which the process is stationary and ergodic, and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 László Györfi , Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

The class of multivariate L\'{e}vy-driven autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes, the continuous-time analogs of the classical vector ARMA processes, is shown to be equivalent to the class of continuous-time state space models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

We provide new, mild conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of BEKK processes. By exploiting that the processes can be represented as multivariate stochastic recurrence equations, we characterize the tail behavior of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Muneya Matsui , Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

The discrete-time GARCH methodology which has had such a profound influence on the modelling of heteroscedasticity in time series is intuitively well motivated in capturing many `stylized facts' concerning financial series, and is now…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Ross A. Maller , Gernot Müller , Alex Szimayer

Two Cox-based multistate modeling approaches are compared for analyzing a complex multicohort event history process. The first approach incorporates cohort information as a fixed covariate, thereby providing a direct estimation of the…

Stochastic processes are proposed whose master equations coincide with classical wave, telegraph, and Klein-Gordon equations. Similar to predecessors based on the Goldstein-Kac telegraph process, the model describes the motion of particles…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. V. Plyukhin

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) arises in modeling of financial time series. FIGARCH is essentially governed by a system of nonlinear stochastic difference equations ${u_t}$ =…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-15 Adil Yilmaz , Gazanfer Unal

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

A methodology is developed for the adjustment of the covariance matrices underlying a multivariate constant time series dynamic linear model. The covariance matrices are embedded in a distribution-free inner-product space of matrix objects…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Darren J Wilkinson , Michael Goldstein

During the last two decades, locally stationary processes have been widely studied in the time series literature. In this paper we consider the locally-stationary vector-auto-regression model of order one, or LS-VAR(1), and estimate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Giovanni Motta