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The aim of the paper is to understand how the inclusion of more and more time-scales into a stochastic stationary Markovian process affects its conditional probability. To this end, we consider two Gaussian processes: (i) a short-range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-08 Salvatore Miccichè

Stationarity is a very common assumption in time series analysis. A vector autoregressive process is stationary if and only if the roots of its characteristic equation lie outside the unit circle, constraining the autoregressive coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Sarah E. Heaps

In this paper, the key objects of interest are the sequential covariance matrices $\mathbf{S}_{n,t}$ and their largest eigenvalues. Here, the matrix $\mathbf{S}_{n,t}$ is computed as the empirical covariance associated with observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Nina Dörnemann , Debashis Paul

In this paper, we analyze Gaussian processes using statistical mechanics. Although the input is originally multidimensional, we simplify our model by considering the input as one-dimensional for statistical mechanical analysis. Furthermore,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-05 Jun Tsuzurugi

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Longitudinal studies with binary or ordinal responses are widely encountered in various disciplines, where the primary focus is on the temporal evolution of the probability of each response category. Traditional approaches build from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Jizhou Kang , Athanasios Kottas

This article develops a periodic version of a time varying parameter fractional process in the stationary region. It is a partial extension of Hosking (1981)'s article which dealt with the case where the coefficients are invariant in time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Amine Amimour , Karima Belaide

We present a general method for constructing stochastic processes with prescribed local form. Such processes include variable amplitude multifractional Brownian motion, multifractional $\alpha$-stable processes, and multistable processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-06 K. J. Falconer , J. Levy Vehel

We propose a setup for fractionally cointegrated time series which is formulated in terms of latent integrated and short-memory components. It accommodates nonstationary processes with different fractional orders and cointegration of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

We introduce a stochastic process with Wishart marginals: the generalised Wishart process (GWP). It is a collection of positive semi-definite random matrices indexed by any arbitrary dependent variable. We use it to model dynamic (e.g. time…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-04 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zoubin Ghahramani

There are some positively divisible non-Markovian processes whose transition matrices satisfy the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation. These processes should also satisfy the Kolmogorov consistency conditions, an essential requirement for a process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Bilal Canturk , Heinz-Peter Breuer

We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes

We study sums of independent and identically distributed random velocities in special relativity. We show that the resulting one-dimensional velocity distributions are not only stable under relativistic velocity addition but define a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-03 Lucas G. B. de Souza , M. G. E. da Luz , E. P. Raposo , Evaldo M. F. Curado , G. M. Viswanathan

We covariantize calculations over the manifold of phase space, establishing Stokes' theorem for differential cross sections and providing new definitions of familiar observable properties like infrared and collinear safety. Through the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-11-25 Andrew J. Larkoski , Tom Melia

We study a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $\mathbf{X}$ which arises from a L\'evy process $\mathbf{Y}$ by partial resetting, that is the position of the process $\mathbf{X}$ at a Poisson moment equals $c$ times its position right before…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Tomasz Grzywny , Karol Szczypkowski , Zbigniew Palmowski , Bartosz Trojan

In this work, we consider the problem of steering the first two moments of the uncertain state of an unknown discrete-time stochastic nonlinear system to a given terminal distribution in finite time. Toward that goal, first, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Alexandros Tsolovikos , Efstathios Bakolas

We aim to link random fields and marked point processes and therefore introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are defined on a random set in R^d. Unlike for random fields, the mark covariance function of a marked random set is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 Felix Ballani , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

The paper presents a multidimensional model for nonlinear Markovian random walks that generalizes one we developed previously (Phys. Rev. E v.79, 011110, 2009) in order to describe the Levy type stochastic processes in terms of continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andreas Heuer

The linear regression model is widely used in empirical work in Economics, Statistics, and many other disciplines. Researchers often include many covariates in their linear model specification in an attempt to control for confounders. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Whitney K. Newey
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