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We study the famous mathematical puzzle of prisoners and hats. We introduce a framework in which various variants of the problem can be formalized. We examine three particular versions of the problem (each one in fact a class of problems)…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Petr Glivický

We use three kinds of computations: simulation, numeric, and symbolic, to guide risk-averse gamblers in general, and offer particular advice on how to resolve the famous St. Petersburg paradox.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Lucy Martinez , Doron Zeilberger

A backdoor set is a set of variables of a propositional formula such that fixing the truth values of the variables in the backdoor set moves the formula into some polynomial-time decidable class. If we know a small backdoor set we can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-11-01 Serge Gaspers , Stefan Szeider

There is a third way of implementing probability models and practicing. This is to answer questions put in terms of observables. This eliminates frequentist hypothesis testing and Bayes factors and it also eliminates parameter estimation.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-08-12 William M. Briggs

We examine the problem of searching sequentially for a desired real value (a key) within a sorted unbalanced three-dimensional finite real array. This classic problem can be viewed as determining the correct dimensional threshold function…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-12-08 Márcia R. Cappelle , Les Foulds , Humberto J. Longo

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

This article seeks to encourage a mathematical dialog regarding a possible solution to Beals Conjecture. It breaks down one of the worlds most difficult math problems into laymans terms and encourages people to question some of the most…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Angela Moore

Monte Carlo sampling of any system may be analyzed in terms of an associated glass model -- a variant of the Random Energy Model -- with, whenever there is a sign problem, complex fields. This model has three types of phases (liquid, frozen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-17 Gustavo During , Jorge Kurchan

The title of the article is identical to the title of Chapter 21 in Gardner (2001): because we are going to analyze the probability calculations and the ambiguity of the problem statements. We will analyze 3 out of 4 problems from Gardner…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 A. Hayrapetyan

In game theory, players have continuous expected payoff functions and can use fixed point theorems to locate equilibria. This optimization method requires that players adopt a particular type of probability measure space. Here, we introduce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael J. Gagen , Kae Nemoto

On computers, discrete problems are solved instead of continuous ones. One must be sure that the solutions of the former problems, obtained in real time (i.e., when the stepsize h is not infinitesimal) are good approximations of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-12-07 Luigi Brugnano , Felice Iavernaro , Donato Trigiante

Random instances of constraint satisfaction problems such as k-SAT provide challenging benchmarks. If there are m constraints over n variables there is typically a large range of densities r=m/n where solutions are known to exist with…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Amin Coja-Oghlan

The paper has a form of a survey and consists of three parts. It is focused on the relationship between the many-sorted theory, which leads to logical geometry and one-sorted theory, which is based on the important model-theoretic concepts.…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-06-13 Boris Plotkin , Eugene Plotkin

The Sleeping Beauty problem is a probability riddle with no definite solution for more than two decades and its solution is of great interest in many fields of knowledge. There are two main competing solutions to the problem: the halfer…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Paulo S. Piva , Gabriel Ruffolo

Compared with constraint satisfaction problems, counting problems have received less attention. In this paper, we survey research works on the problems of counting the number of solutions to constraints. The constraints may take various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Jian Zhang , Cunjing Ge , Feifei Ma

Doing mathematics implies three levels of manipulation: manipulating the abstract, manipulating symbols and manipulating logic. Teaching mathematics therefore involves the teacher proposing situations in which pupils can explore a small…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Gilles Aldon

A series of examples of computational models is provided, where the model aim is to interpret numerical results in terms of internal states of agents minds. Two opposite strategies or research can be distinguished in the literature. First…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 Krzysztof Kulakowski , Piotr Gronek , Antoni Dydejczyk

Inverse problems arise in situations where data is available, but the underlying model is not. It can therefore be necessary to infer the parameters of the latter starting from the former. Statistical mechanics offers a toolbox of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-04 Stefano Bae , Dario Bocchi , Luca Maria Del Bono , Luca Leuzzi

The idea of fully accepting statements when the evidence has rendered them probable enough faces a number of difficulties. We leave the interpretation of probability largely open, but attempt to suggest a contextual approach to full belief.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Henry E. Kyburg

The method of maximum entropy has been very successful but there are cases where it has either failed or led to paradoxes that have cast doubt on its general legitimacy. My more optimistic assessment is that such failures and paradoxes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Ariel Caticha