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We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

We investigate a new sampling scheme aimed at improving the performance of particle filters whenever (a) there is a significant mismatch between the assumed model dynamics and the actual system, or (b) the posterior probability tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-20 Ömer Deniz Akyıldız , Joaquín Míguez

The use of data assimilation for the merging of observed data with dynamical models is becoming standard in modern physics. If a parametric model is known, methods such as Kalman filtering have been developed for this purpose. If no model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-17 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

In this paper we present a new Kalman filter extension for state update called Partitioned Update Kalman Filter (PUKF). PUKF updates the state using multidimensional measurements in parts. PUKF evaluates the nonlinearity of the measurement…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Matti Raitoharju , Robert Piché , Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Ali-Löytty

Many modern algorithms for inverse problems and data assimilation rely on ensemble Kalman updates to blend prior predictions with observed data. Ensemble Kalman methods often perform well with a small ensemble size, which is essential in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-05 Omar Al Ghattas , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We derive a novel, provably robust, and closed-form Bayesian update rule for online filtering in state-space models in the presence of outliers and misspecified measurement models. Our method combines generalised Bayesian inference with…

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

This paper is concerned with the filtering problem in continuous-time. Three algorithmic solution approaches for this problem are reviewed: (i) the classical Kalman-Bucy filter which provides an exact solution for the linear Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Jana de Wiljes , Prashant G. Mehta , Sebastian Reich

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Martin Grepl , Karen Veroy

We study a distributed Kalman filtering problem in which a number of nodes cooperate without central coordination to estimate a common state based on local measurements and data received from neighbors. This is typically done by running a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-18 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu

This paper develops a robust extended Kalman filter to estimate the rotor angles and the rotor speeds of synchronous generators of a multimachine power system. Using a batch-mode regression form, the filter processes together predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

We propose a generalised framework for the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble, an essential yet challenging part in ensemble-based filtering methods. The proposed framework is based on a generalised and fully Bayesian view…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-29 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

We generalize the popular ensemble Kalman filter to an ensemble transform filter where the prior distribution can take the form of a Gaussian mixture or a Gaussian kernel density estimator. The design of the filter is based on a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Sebastian Reich

State-of-the-art ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) algorithms require incorporating localization techniques to cope with the rank deficiency and the inherited spurious correlations in their error covariance matrices. Localization techniques…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Ibrahim Hoteit

The filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model with an ensemble of interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Edoardo Calvello , Bohan Chen , Andrew Stuart

Inertial measurement units are widely used in different fields to estimate the attitude. Many algorithms have been proposed to improve estimation performance. However, most of them still suffer from 1) inaccurate initial estimation, 2)…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Yujie Tang , Liang Hu , Qingrui Zhang , Wei Pan

Recursive Bayesian filters have been widely deployed in structural system identification where output-only filters are of higher practicality. Unfortunately, the estimation obtained by instantaneous system inversion via filters can be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zihao Liu , Mohsen Ebrahimzadeh Hassanabadi , Daniel Dias-da-Costa

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Oliver Grothe

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek