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We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

Ill-posed inverse problems are ubiquitous in applications. Under- standing of algorithms for their solution has been greatly enhanced by a deep understanding of the linear inverse problem. In the applied communities ensemble-based filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kui Lin , Shuai Lu , Andrew M. Stuart

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a popular technique for performing inference in state-space models (SSMs), particularly when the dynamic process is high-dimensional. Unlike reweighting methods such as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC, i.e.…

We propose a new regularisation strategy for the classical ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) framework. The strategy consists of: (i) an adaptive choice for the regularisation parameter in the update formula in EKI, and (ii) criteria for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Marco Iglesias , Yuchen Yang

We provide a procedure termed Flagged observation analyses that can be applied to all the available time series to help identifying time series that should be prioritized.The statistical procedure first applies a structural time series…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Hiroko Kato Solvang , Per Arneberg

We analyze the Ensemble and Polynomial Chaos Kalman filters applied to nonlinear stationary Bayesian inverse problems. In a sequential data assimilation setting such stationary problems arise in each step of either filter. We give a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Oliver G. Ernst , Björn Sprungk , Hans-Jörg Starkloff

In many applications of Monte Carlo nonlinear filtering, the propagation step is computationally expensive, and hence, the sample size is limited. With small sample sizes, the update step becomes crucial. Particle filtering suffers from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-03 Marco Frei , Hans R. Künsch

This paper provides a unified perspective of iterative ensemble Kalman methods, a family of derivative-free algorithms for parameter reconstruction and other related tasks. We identify, compare and develop three subfamilies of ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Neil K. Chada , Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We investigate the applicability of the data assimilation (DA) to large eddy simulations (LESs) based on the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM). We carry out the observing system simulation experiment of a two-dimensional (2D) forced isotropic…

We develop a generalization of unobserved components models that allows for a wide range of long-run dynamics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process. The model does not require stationarity and can be cast…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-22 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

Ensemble smoother (ES) has been widely used in inverse modeling of hydrologic systems. However, for problems where the distribution of model parameters is multimodal, using ES directly would be problematic. One popular solution is to use a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jiangjiang Zhang , Guang Lin , Weixuan Li , Laosheng Wu , Lingzao Zeng

Ensemble methods have become ubiquitous for the solution of Bayesian inference problems. State-of-the-art Langevin samplers such as the Ensemble Kalman Sampler (EKS), Affine Invariant Langevin Dynamics (ALDI) or its extension using weighted…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Martin Eigel , Robert Gruhlke , David Sommer

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the state of a dynamic state-space system where the output is subject to quantization. We compare some classical approaches and a new development in the literature to obtain the filtering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-16 Angel L. Cedeño , Ricardo Albornoz , Boris I. Godoy , Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero

Several numerical tools designed to overcome the challenges of smoothing in a nonlinear and non-Gaussian setting are investigated for a class of particle smoothers. The considered family of smoothers is induced by the class of linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Jana de Wiljes , Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich

Ensemble randomized maximum likelihood (EnRML) is an iterative (stochastic) ensemble smoother, used for large and nonlinear inverse problems, such as history matching and data assimilation. Its current formulation is overly complicated and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-12 Patrick N. Raanes , Geir Evensen , Andreas S. Stordal

The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation technique in the geosciences. However, little is known theoretically about its long term stability and accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the behavior of an ensemble…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat
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