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We study the adaptation dynamics of an initially maladapted asexual population with genotypes represented by binary sequences of length $L$. The population evolves in a maximally rugged fitness landscape with a large number of local optima.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Kavita Jain , Joachim Krug

The Verhulst model is probably the best known macroscopic rate equation in population ecology. It depends on two parameters, the intrinsic growth rate and the carrying capacity. These parameters can be estimated for different populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

We prove a stochastic averaging theorem for stochastic differential equations in which the slow and the fast variables interact. The approximate Markov fast motion is a family of Markov process with generator ${\mathcal L}_x$ for which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xue-Mei Li

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

We consider the discrete-time migration-recombination equation, a deterministic, nonlinear dynamical system that describes the evolution of the genetic type distribution of a population evolving under migration and recombination in a law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Frederic Alberti , Ellen Baake , Ian Letter , Servet Martinez

In this note, we consider general growth-fragmentation equations from a probabilistic point of view. Using Foster-Lyapunov techniques, we study the recurrence of the associated Markov process depending on the growth and fragmentation rates.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Florian Bouguet

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

Dynamics of the major USA market indices DJIA, S&P, Nasdaq, and NYSE is analyzed from the point of view of the random walking problem with two-step correlations of the market moves. The parameters characterizing the stochastic dynamics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 M. I. Krivoruchenko

In this paper, we learn dynamics models for parametrized families of dynamical systems with varying properties. The dynamics models are formulated as stochastic processes conditioned on a latent context variable which is inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jan Achterhold , Joerg Stueckler

The linear growth rate is commonly defined through a simple deterministic relation between the velocity divergence and the matter overdensity in the linear regime. We introduce a formalism that extends this to a nonlinear, stochastic…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Elise Jennings , David Jennings

Positive dependencies have been compared in the literature under rather strong assumptions such as equality of conditional distributions, exchangeability, or stationarity. We establish supermodular ordering results for distributions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jonathan Ansari , Moritz Ritter

It is frequently asserted that in a chaotic system two initially close points will separate at an exponential rate governed by the largest global Lyapunov exponent. Local Lyapunov exponents, however, are more directly relevant to…

We generalize the diffusion-limited aggregation by issuing many randomly-walking particles, which stick to a cluster at the discrete time unit providing its growth. Using simple combinatorial arguments we determine probabilities of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Oleg Alekseev , Mark Mineev-Weinstein

We analyze plankton-nutrient food chain models composed of phytoplankton, herbivorous zooplankton and a limiting nutrient. These models have played a key role in understanding the dynamics of plankton in the oceanic layer. Given the strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Nguyen Trong Hieu , Dang Hai Nguyen , Nhu Ngoc Nguyen

Many biological ecosystems exhibit chaotic behavior, demonstrated either analytically using parameter choices in an associated dynamical systems model or empirically through analysis of experimental data. In this paper, we provide a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-26 B. C. Dean , E. Dimitrova , A. Galande , E. W. Jenkins , S. Koshy

We consider an exponentially growing population of cells undergoing mutations and ask about the effect of reproductive fluctuations (genetic drift) on its long-term evolution. We combine first step analysis with the stochastic dynamics of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-14 Arman Angaji , Christoph Velling , Johannes Berg

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Blake McGrane-Corrigan , Oliver Mason , Rafael de Andrade Moral

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn