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The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In the model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii , K. E. Kechedzhy , S. S. Mel'nyk

Logistic growth models are recurrent in biology, epidemiology, market models, and neural and social networks. They find important applications in many other fields including laser modelling. In numerous realistic cases the growth rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 G. Aquino , M. Bologna , H. Calisto

These lecture notes introduce the statistical analysis of continuous-time generative models built from Markov dynamics. We begin with the stochastic-calculus foundations of score-based diffusion models, including time reversal, score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Eddie Aamari , Arthur Stéphanovitch

How to distinguish and quantify deterministic and random influences on the statistics of turbulence data in meteorology cases is discussed from first principles. Liquid water path (LWP) changes in clouds, as retrieved from radio signals,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

Continuum models for the spatial dynamics of growing cell populations have been widely used to investigate the mechanisms underpinning tissue development and tumour invasion. These models consist of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-15 Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R Macfarlane

We study the evolutionary dynamics of a phenotypically structured population in a changing environment , where the environmental conditions vary with a linear trend but in an oscillatory manner. Such phenomena can be described by parabolic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Susely Figueroa Iglesias , Sepideh Mirrahimi

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

Markovian population models are suitable abstractions to describe well-mixed interacting particle systems in situation where stochastic fluctuations are significant due to the involvement of low copy particles. In molecular biology,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-17 Christoph Zechner , Federico Wadehn , Heinz Koeppl

In this work we construct individual-based models that give rise to the generalized logistic model at the mean-field deterministic level and that allow us to interpret the parameters of these models in terms of individual interactions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Vicenc Mendez , Michael Assaf , Werner Horsthemke , Daniel Campos

We consider a stochastic Laplacian growth problem in the framework of normal random matrices. In the large $N$ limit the support of eigenvalues of random matrices is a planar domain with a sharp boundary which evolves under a change in the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-12-01 Oleg Alekseev

In the present paper, we give some examples of stochastic differential equations which have delicateness in the Markov and strong Markov properties, the uniqueness locally in time and globally in time, and initial conditions. Moreover, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Seiichiro Kusuoka

Deterministic continuum models formulated in terms of non-local partial differential equations for the evolutionary dynamics of populations structured by phenotypic traits have been used recently to address open questions concerning the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-14 Aleksandra Ardaševa , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Helen M. Byrne , Philip K. Maini , Tommaso Lorenzi

Density dependent Markov population processes with countably many types can often be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average drift, provided that the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Malwina Luczak

The aim of this paper is to tackle part of the program set by Diekmann et al. in their seminal paper Diekmann et al. (2001). We quote "It remains to investigate whether, and in what sense, the nonlinear determin-istic model formulation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Philippe Carmona

This paper analyzes the robust long-term growth rate of expected utility and expected return from holding a leveraged exchange-traded fund (LETF). When the Markovian model parameters in the reference asset are uncertain, the robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-04 Tim Leung , Hyungbin Park , Heejun Yeo

Biological entities are inherently dynamic. As such, various ecological disciplines use mathematical models to describe temporal evolution. Typically, growth curves are modelled as sigmoids, with the evolution modelled by ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-12 A. Samoletov , B. Vasiev

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter
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