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Elementary physical reasoning seems to leave it inevitable that global warming would increase the variability of the weather. The first two terms in an approximation to the global entropy are used to show that global warming has increased…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 John Michael Williams

The thermodynamic approach shows that the total energy produced by humanity disrupts the thermal balance of the planet and causes counteraction, that is, climate change, which can slow down the progress of civilization. This outcome not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-08 Vladimir Kh. Dobruskin

The mean surface temperature on Earth and other planets with atmospheres is determined by the radiative balance between the non-reflected incoming solar radiation and the outgoing long-wave black-body radiation from the atmosphere. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

We analyze global surface temperature data obtained at 13472 weather stations from the year 1702 to 1990. The mean annual temperature of a station fluctuates from year to year by typically +-0.6oC (one standard deviation). Superimposed on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. X. Alban , B. Hoeneisen

Understanding the causes and consequences of, and devising countermeasures to, global warming is a profoundly complex problem. Network representations are sometimes the only way forward, and sometimes able to reduce the complexity of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-30 Petter Holme , Juan C. Rocha

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

The global mean surface temperature is widely studied to monitor climate change. A current debate centers around whether there has been a recent (post-1970s) surge/acceleration in the warming rate. This paper addresses whether an…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Claudie Beaulieu , Colin Gallagher , Rebecca Killick , Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

We propose a non-steady state model of the global temperature change. The model describes Earth's surface temperature dynamics under main climate forcing. The equations were derived from basic physical relationships and detailed assessment…

The atmospheric greenhouse effect, an idea that many authors trace back to the traditional works of Fourier (1824), Tyndall (1861), and Arrhenius (1896), and which is still supported in global climatology, essentially describes a fictitious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-03-05 Gerhard Gerlich , Ralf D. Tscheuschner

The Sun encompasses planet Earth, supplies the heat that warms it, and even shakes it. The United Nation Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assumed that solar influence on our climate is limited to changes in solar irradiance…

General Physics · Physics 2010-09-05 Oliver K. Manuel

Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-19 Meihua Zhou , Nan Wan , Tianlong Zheng , Hanwen Xu , Li Yang , Tingting Wang

As IPCC ARs stated, global warming is estimated based on the average from 1850 to 1900 (global average temperature of preindustrialization estimated from relatively sparse observations). Given the impossibility of massive increasing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Qingxiang Li , Zichen Li , Xuqian Li , Zengyun Hu , Aiguo Dai , Wenjie Dong , Boyin Huang , Zhihong Jiang , Panmao Zhai , Tianjun Zhou , Phil Jones

Using observational data and an elementary rigorous statistical fact it is easily shown that the distribution of Earth's climate is non-stationary. Examination of records of hundreds of local Industrial Era temperature histories in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-21 Juan M. Restrepo , Michael E. Mann

A recently advanced argument against the atmospheric greenhouse effect is refuted. A planet without an infrared absorbing atmosphere is mathematically constrained to have an average temperature less than or equal to the effective radiating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-03 Arthur P. Smith

We first recall fundamentals of elementary climate physics: solar constant, radiative balance, greenhouse effect, astronomical parameters of the climate (theory of Milankovitch). Without disputing the analyzes of climatologists and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-25 Daniel Parrochia

Whether natural factors could interpret the rise of the Earth's surface temperature is still controversial. Though numerous recent researches have reported apparent correlations between solar activity and the Earth's climate, solar activity…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-25 Jilong Chen , Zhaopeng Sun , Juan Zhao , Yujun Zheng

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah

The sun's role in the earth's recent warming remains controversial even though there is a good deal of evidence to support the thesis that solar variations are a very significant factor in driving climate change both currently and in the…

General Physics · Physics 2010-07-29 Gerald E. Marsh

Global warming is a major environmental concern of our times. It has been suggested that the planting of trees could constitute a way of mitigating the adverse effects of the increasing anthropogenic carbon emissions. We developed a simple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-08 Cédric Mesnage , Michalis Vlachos