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A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow , Anton Tarasenko

Although power laws of the Zipf type have been used by many workers to fit rank distributions in different fields like in economy, geophysics, genetics, soft-matter, networks etc., these fits usually fail at the tails. Some distributions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-12 Gerardo G. Naumis , Germinal Cocho

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

We study the distributional properties of the linear discriminant function under the assumption of normality by comparing two groups with the same covariance matrix but different mean vectors. A stochastic representation for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Taras Bodnar , Stepan Mazur , Edward Ngailo , Nestor Parolya

It has been observed in numerous experiments, simulations, and various theoretical treatments that the spreading of particles can be modeled by the continuous-time random walk. We consider two well-known cases, i.e., Gaussian displacements…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-21 Wanli Wang , Kaixin Zhang , Yuda Cheng

We derive the exact probability density function of the product of $N$ independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter. We then apply this formula to derive formulas for the cumulative distribution function and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Robert E. Gaunt , Siqi Li , Heather Sutcliffe

The theory of Barnes beta probability distributions is advanced and related to the Riemann xi function. The scaling invariance, multiplication formula, and Shintani factorization of Barnes multiple gamma functions are reviewed using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Dmitry Ostrovsky

We determine the rate of decrease of the right tail distribution of the exponential functional of a Levy process with a convolution equivalent Levy measure. Our main result establishes that it decreases as the right tail of the image under…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Víctor Rivero

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and light-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for local probabilities for the area and prove a local…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider sums of $n$ i.i.d. random variables with tails close to $\exp\{-x^\beta\}$ for some $\beta>1$. Asymptotics developed by Rootz\'en (1987) and Balkema, Kl\"uppelberg & Resnick (1993) are discussed from the point of view of tails…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Enkelejd Hashorva , Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre

We consider an estimation problem of expected functionals of a general random element that values in a metric space. If the functional forms an explicit function of some unknown parameters, we can estimate it by plugging-in a suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Yasutaka Shimizu

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of a Kotz Type III elliptical random vector. As an application of our asymptotic expansion we derive an approximation for the conditional excess distribution. Furthermore, we discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Enkelejd Hashorva

We introduce the beta generalized exponential distribution that includes the beta exponential and generalized exponential distributions as special cases. We provide a comprehensive mathematical treatment of this distribution. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-17 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Alessandro H. S. Santos , Gauss M. Cordeiro

When an explicit expression for a probability distribution function $F(x)$ can not be found, asymptotic properties of the tail probability function $\bar{F}(x)=1-F(x)$ are very valuable, since they provide approximations or bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_M$ and $Y_1,\ldots,Y_N$ be independent zero mean normal random variables with variances $\sigma_{X_i}^2$, $i=1,\ldots,M$, and $\sigma_{Y_j}^2$, $j=1,\ldots,N$, respectively, and let $X=X_1\cdots X_M$ and $Y=Y_1\cdots Y_N$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

We study the isotonic regression estimator over a general countable pre-ordered set. We obtain the limiting distribution of the estimator and study its properties. It is proved that, under some general assumptions, the limiting distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

We re-investigate the asymptotic properties of the traditional OLS (pooled) estimator, $\hat{\beta} _P$, in the context of cluster dependence. The present study considers various scenarios under various restrictions on the cluster sizes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou