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We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

Usually, in the Black-Scholes pricing theory the volatility is a positive real parameter. Here we explore what happens if it is allowed to be a complex number. The function for pricing a European option with a complex volatility has…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-07 Yiran Cui , Sebastian del Bano Rollin , Guido Germano

We provide a general probabilistic framework within which we establish scaling limits for a class of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with self-exciting jump dynamics. In the scaling limit, the joint dynamics of asset returns…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

Volatility clustering, long-range dependence, and non-Gaussian scaling are stylized facts of financial assets dynamics. They are ignored in the Black & Scholes framework, but have a relevant impact on the pricing of options written on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-12 Fulvio Baldovin , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio Stella , Marco Zamparo

We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

The relationship between price volatilty and a market extremum is examined using a fundamental economics model of supply and demand. By examining randomness through a microeconomic setting, we obtain the implications of randomness in the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We consider a non-stochastic online learning approach to price financial options by modeling the market dynamic as a repeated game between the nature (adversary) and the investor. We demonstrate that such framework yields analogous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu

We develop a variational method of deriving stochastic partial differential equations whose solutions follow the flow of a stochastic vector field. As an example in one spatial dimension we numerically simulate singular solutions (peakons)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-06 DD Holm , TM Tyranowski

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We analyze and calculate the early exercise boundary for a class of stationary generalized Black-Scholes equations in which the volatility function depends on the second derivative of the option price itself. A motivation for studying the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-04 Maria do Rosario Grossinho , Yaser Faghan Kord , Daniel Sevcovic

We consider a continuous-time financial market with an asset whose price is modeled by a linear stochastic differential equation with drift and volatility switching driven by a uniformly ergodic jump Markov process with a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Vitaliy Golomoziy , Kamil Kladivko , Yuliya Mishura

Pricing financial derivatives, in particular European-style options at different time-maturities and strikes, means a relevant problem in finance. The dynamics describing the price of vanilla options when constant volatilities and interest…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-22 Javier Gonzalez-Conde , Ángel Rodríguez-Rozas , Enrique Solano , Mikel Sanz

A stochastic dynamics has a natural decomposition into a drift capturing mean rate of change and a martingale increment capturing randomness. They are two statistically uncorrelated, but not necessarily independent mechanisms contributing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-28 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

We consider a class of stochastic control problems where the state process is a probability measure-valued process satisfying an additional martingale condition on its dynamics, called measure-valued martingales (MVMs). We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

In the paper written by Klibanov et al, it proposes a novel method to calculate implied volatility of a European stock options as a solution to ill-posed inverse problem for the Black-Scholes equation. In addition, it proposes a trading…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Wanchaloem Wunkaew , Yuqing Liu , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

The aim of this paper is to study asymptotic geometric properties almost surely or/and in probability of extreme order statistics of an i.i.d. random field (potential) indexed by sites of multidimensional lattice cube, the volume of which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Arvydas Astrauskas

This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Jinniao Qiu , Antony Ware , Yang Yang

Any given system of ordinary differential equations in $n$-dimensional configuration space can be obtained from a peculiar variational problem with one local symmetry. The obtained action functional leads to the Hamiltonian formulation in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Alexei A. Deriglazov

In finite-dimensional dynamical systems, stochastic stability provides the selection of physical relevant measures from the myriad invariant measures of conservative systems. That this might also apply to infinite-dimensional systems is the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-12 F. Cipriano , H. Ouerdiane , R. Vilela Mendes
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