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We introduce the stochastic multiplicative point process modelling trading activity of financial markets. Such a model system exhibits power-law spectral density S(f) ~ 1/f**beta, scaled as power of frequency for various values of beta…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Vygintas Gontis , Bronislovas Kaulakys

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Signals consisting of a sequence of pulses show that inherent origin of the 1/f noise is a Brownian fluctuation of the average interevent time between subsequent pulses of the pulse sequence. In this paper we generalize the model of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Vygintas Gontis , Bronislovas Kaulakys

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

A few characteristic exponents describing power law behaviors of roughness, coherence and persistence in stochastic time series are compared to each other. Relevant techniques for analyzing such time series are recalled in order to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ausloos

Stochastic processes with multiplicative noise have been studied independently in several different contexts over the past decades. We focus on the regime, found for a generic set of control parameters, in which stochastic processes with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 D. Sornette

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

Many dynamical phenomena display a cyclic behavior, in the sense that time can be partitioned into units within which distributional aspects of a process are homogeneous. In this paper, we introduce a class of models - called conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Eduardo Horta , Flavio Ziegelmann

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Nazanin Mehrasa , Ruizhi Deng , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Bo Chang , Jiawei He , Thibaut Durand , Marcus Brubaker , Greg Mori

We present analytical and numerical results of modeling of flows represented as the correlated non-Poissonian point process and as the Poissonian sequence of pulses of the different size. Both models may generate signals with the power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-08-01 Bronislovas Kaulakys , Miglius Alaburda , Vygintas Gontis , Tadas Meskauskas , Julius Ruseckas

Multiplicative processes and multifractals have earned increased popularity in applications ranging from hydrodynamic turbulence to computer network traffic, from image processing to economics. We analyse the multifractality of the recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-28 B. Kaulakys , M. Alaburda , V. Gontis , T. Meskauskas

A statistical model of discrete finite length random processes with negative power law spectral densities is presented. The definition of terms is followed by a description of the spectral density trend. An algorithmic construction of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-13 Robert Kimberk , Keara Carter , Todd Hunter

In recent years there has been a substantial increase in the availability of datasets which contain information about the location and timing of an event or group of events and the application of methods to analyse spatio-temporal datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Nik Lomax , Nick Malleson , Le-Minh Kieu

Stochastic point processes relevant to the theory of long-range aperiodic order are considered that display diffraction spectra of mixed type, with special emphasis on explicitly computable cases together with a unified approach of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-17 Michael Baake , Matthias Birkner , Robert V. Moody

We analyze the European transition economies and show that time series for most of major indices exhibit (i) power-law correlations in their values, power-law correlations in their magnitudes, and (iii) asymmetric probability distribution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Boris Podobnik , Ivo Grosse , Davor Horvatic , Plamen Ch Ivanov , Timotej Jagric , H. E. Stanley

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In real-world scenario, many phenomena produce a collection of events that occur in continuous time. Point Processes provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling these sequences of events. In this survey, we investigate…

We propose the point process model as the Poissonian-like stochastic sequence with slowly diffusing mean rate and adjust the parameters of the model to the empirical data of trading activity for 26 stocks traded on NYSE. The proposed scaled…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys , J. Ruseckas
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