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Identifying causal relationships for a treatment intervention is a fundamental problem in health sciences. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for identifying causal relationships. However, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Riddhiman Adib , Paul Griffin , Sheikh Iqbal Ahamed , Mohammad Adibuzzaman

Dropout poses a significant challenge to causal inference in longitudinal studies with time-varying treatments. However, existing research does not simultaneously address dropout and time-varying treatments. We examine selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Zhichao Jiang , Eli Ben-Michael , D. James Greiner , Ryan Halen , Kosuke Imai

With the emergence of precision medicine, estimating optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) has attracted tremendous attention in many scientific areas. Most existing literature has focused on finding optimal IDRs that can maximize…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Zhengling Qi , Jong-Shi Pang , Yufeng Liu

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a serious illness affecting millions world-wide and is the leading cause of death in the US. Recent years, however, have seen tremendous growth in the area of personalized medicine, a field of medicine that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Michael T. Lash , W. Nick Street

Estimands using the treatment policy strategy for addressing intercurrent events are common in Phase III clinical trials. One estimation approach for this strategy is retrieved dropout whereby observed data following an intercurrent event…

Recommender systems are important and powerful tools for various personalized services. Traditionally, these systems use data mining and machine learning techniques to make recommendations based on correlations found in the data. However,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Shuyuan Xu , Jianchao Ji , Yunqi Li , Yingqiang Ge , Juntao Tan , Yongfeng Zhang

Strategic classification, where individuals modify their features to influence machine learning (ML) decisions, presents critical fairness challenges. While group fairness in this setting has been widely studied, individual fairness remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Zhiqun Zuo , Mohammad Mahdi Khalili

Most cluster randomized trials (CRTs) randomize fewer than 30-40 clusters in total. When performing inference for such ``small'' CRTs, it is important to use methods that appropriately account for the small sample size. When the generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Shifeng Sun , Xueqi Wang , Zhuoran Hou , Elizabeth L. Turner

Recommender systems nowadays have many applications and are of great economic benefit. Hence, it is imperative for success-oriented companies to compare different of such systems and select the better one for their purposes. To this end,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are ideal for estimating causal effects, because the distributions of background covariates are similar in expectation across treatment groups. When estimating causal effects using observational data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Anthony D. Scotina , Roee Gutman

Previous research has shown that ignoring individual differences of factor loadings in conventional factor models may reduce the determinacy of factor score predictors. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to propose a heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger , Anneke C. Weide

A major source of risk in project management is inaccurate forecasts of project costs, demand, and other impacts. The paper presents a promising new approach to mitigating such risk, based on theories of decision making under uncertainty…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-18 Bent Flyvbjerg

Risk assessment algorithms are being adopted by public sector agencies to make high-stakes decisions about human lives. Algorithms model "risk" based on individual client characteristics to identify clients most in need. However, this…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Devansh Saxena , Erina Seh-Young Moon , Aryan Chaurasia , Yixin Guan , Shion Guha

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

This essay looks at decision-making with interval-valued probability measures. Existing decision methods have either supplemented expected utility methods with additional criteria of optimality, or have attempted to supplement the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ronald P. Loui

When building AI systems for decision support, one often encounters the phenomenon of predictive multiplicity: a single best model does not exist; instead, one can construct many models with similar overall accuracy that differ in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Karolin Frohnapfel , Mara Seyfert , Sebastian Bordt , Ulrike von Luxburg , Kristof Meding

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Personalized medicine has become an important part of medicine, for instance predicting individual drug responses based on genomic information. However, many current statistical methods are not tailored to this task, because they overlook…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-03 Shih-Ting Huang , Yannick Düren , Kristoffer H. Hellton , Johannes Lederer

In usual demographic analysis, force of mortality is a function of one variable, that is, of age. In this article bi-variate and multivariate force of mortality functions are introduced for the first time to explain mortality differentials.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Swagata Mitra , Pratyush Singh , Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao

The risk ratio is a popular tool for summarizing the relationship between a binary covariate and outcome, even when outcomes may be dependent. Investigations of infectious disease outcomes in cohort studies of individuals embedded within…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-20 Olga Morozova , Ted Cohen , Forrest W. Crawford