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We consider the Markov chain approximations for singular stable-like processes. First we obtain properties of some Markov chains. Then we construct the approximating Markov chains and give a necessary condition for weak convergence of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-11 Fangjun Xu

For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of M\"obius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of M\"obius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-04 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

This paper considers the level-increment (LI) truncation approximation of M/G/1-type Markov chains. The LI truncation approximation is useful for implementing the M/G/1 paradigm, which is the framework for computing the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Katsuhisa Ouchi , Hiroyuki Masuyama

Let $(X_{i}, i\in J)$ be a family of locally dependent nonnegative integer-valued random variables, and consider the sum $W=\sum\nolimits_{i\in J}X_i$. We first establish a general error upper bound for $d_{TV}(W, M)$ using Stein's method,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Zhonggen Su , Vladimir V. Ulyanov , Xiaolin Wang

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We consider a random model for directed graphs whereby an arc is placed from one vertex to another with a prescribed probability which may vary from arc to arc. Using perturbation bounds as well as Chernoff inequalities, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Franklin H. J. Kenter

A switching random walk, commonly known under the misnomer `oscillating random walk', is a real-valued Markov chain whose distribution of increments is determined by the sign of the current position. We explicitly identify an invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Vladislav Vysotsky

Let $X_n$ be a discrete time Markov chain with state space $S$ (countably infinite, in general) and initial probability distribution $\mu^{(0)} = (P(X_0=i_1),P(X_0=i_2),\cdots,)$. What is the probability of choosing in random some $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Nikolaos Halidias

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

The stability of iterations of affine linear maps $\Psi_{n}(x)=A_{n}x+B_{n}$, $n=1,2,\ldots$, is studied in the presence of a Markovian environment, more precisely, for the situation when $(A_{n},B_{n})_{n\ge 1}$ is modulated by an ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fabian Buckmann

In this paper, we study first the problem of nonparametric estimation of the stationary density $f$ of a discrete-time Markov chain $(X_i)$. We consider a collection of projection estimators on finite dimensional linear spaces. We select an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-09 Claire Lacour

Let S be a denumerable state space and let P be a transition probability matrix on S. If a denumerable set M of nonnegative matrices is such that the sum of the matrices is equal to P, then we call M a partition of P. Let K denote the set…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Thomas Kaijser

Stochastic models of chemical reaction networks are an important tool to describe and analyze noise effects in cell biology. When chemical species and reaction rates in a reaction system have different orders of magnitude, the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 German Enciso , Jinsu Kim

Reinforced processes are known to provide a stochastic representation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a given killed Markov process - describing the killed Markov process at fixed time instants. In this paper we shall adapt the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Oliver Tough

A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In the model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii , K. E. Kechedzhy , S. S. Mel'nyk
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