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Related papers: On approximation of Markov binomial distributions

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Motivated by applications in Markov chain Monte Carlo, we discuss what it means for one Markov chain to be an approximation to another. Specifically included in that discussion are situations in which a Markov chain with continuous state…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Jerrum

This work presents a construction of stationary Markov models with negative-binomial marginal distributions. A simple closed form expression for the corresponding transition probabilities is given, linking the proposal to well-known classes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Fabrizio Leisen , Ramsés H. Mena , Freddy Palma Mancilla , Luca Rossini

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

The paper gives a wide range, uniform, local approximation of symmetric binomial distribution. The result clearly shows how one has to modify the the classical de Moivre--Laplace normal approximation in order to give an estimate at the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tamás Szabados

We propose an adaptive estimator for the stationary distribution of a bifurcating Markov Chain on $\mathbb R^d$. Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC for short) are a class of stochastic processes indexed by regular binary trees. A kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-22 S Valere Bitseki Penda , Angelina Roche

Let $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$ be a stationary reversible Markov chain with state space $[N]$, let $(X, \| \cdot \|)$ be a real-valued Banach space and let $f_1, \ldots, f_n: [N] \rightarrow X$ be functions with mean $0$ such that $\|f_i(v)\|…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Shravas Rao

We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

Two popular classes of methods for approximate inference are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference. MCMC tends to be accurate if run for a long enough time, while variational inference tends to give better approximations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Justin Domke

We consider local alignments without gaps of two independent Markov chains from a finite alphabet, and we derive sufficient conditions for the number of essentially different local alignments with a score exceeding a high threshold to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

We study the accurate and efficient computation of the expected number of times each state is visited in discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. To obtain sound accuracy guarantees efficiently, we lift interval iteration and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Hannah Mertens , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Tobias Winkler

In this paper, we quantify some known approximation to the Curie-Weiss model via applying the Stein method to the Markov chain whose stationary distribution coincides with Curie-Weiss model.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Yingdong Lu

What can one say on convergence to stationarity of a finite state Markov chain that behaves "locally" like a nearest neighbor random walk on ${\mathbb Z}$ ? The model we consider is a version of nearest neighbor lazy random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Iddo Ben-Ari , Hugo Panzo , Elizabeth Tripp

Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe

We show that discrete distributions on the $d$-dimensional non-negative integer lattice can be approximated arbitrarily well via the marginals of stationary distributions for various classes of stochastic chemical reaction networks. We…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Daniele Cappelletti , Andrés Ortiz-Muñoz , David Anderson , Erik Winfree

The Markov chain approximation of a one-dimensional symmetric diffusion is investigated in this paper. Given an irreducible reflecting diffusion on a closed interval with scale function $s$ and speed measure $m$, the approximating Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Xiaodan Li , Jiangang Ying

To understand the long-run behavior of Markov population models, the computation of the stationary distribution is often a crucial part. We propose a truncation-based approximation that employs a state-space lumping scheme, aggregating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-05 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Neal Bushaw , Karen Gunderson , Steven Kalikow