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Let $Z_{n}$ be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let $X$ be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

We consider continuous-state branching processes (CB processes) which become extinct almost surely. First, we tackle the problem of describing the stationary measures on $(0,+\infty)$ for such CB processes. We give a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Rongli Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Ting Yang

The shapes of branching trees have been linked to disease transmission patterns. In this paper we use the general Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process to model an outbreak of an infectious disease under mild assumptions. Introducing a new…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-13 Giacomo Plazzotta , Caroline Colijn

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

In this paper we use the spine decomposition and martingale change of measure to establish a Kesten-Stigum $L\log L$ theorem for branching Hunt processes. This result is a generalization of the results in Asmussen-Hering (1976) and Hering…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-24 Rong-Li Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

Consider a branching random walk on the real line with a random environment in time (BRWRE). A necessary and sufficient condition for the non-triviality of the limit of the derivative martingale is formulated. To this end, we investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Wenming Hong , Shengli Liang

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

This chapter focuses on the derivation of a doubly nonlocal Fisher-KPP model, which is a macroscopic nonlocal evolution equation describing population dynamics in the large population limit. The derivation starts from a microscopic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Jasper Hoeksema , Anastasiia Hraivoronska , Oliver Tse

We study the genealogies of samples of $k$ distinguished particles drawn from the population alive at some fixed time in a continuous-time multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (MBGW) process under two different type dependent sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Osvaldo Angtuncio Hernández , Simon C. Harris , Juan Carlos Pardo

A statistical mechanics argument relating partition functions to martingales is used to get a condition under which random geometric processes can describe interfaces in 2d statistical mechanics at criticality. Requiring multiple SLEs to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-10 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Kalle Kytola

A general class of non-Markov, supercritical Gaussian branching particle systems is introduced and its long-time asymptotics is studied. Both weak and strong laws of large numbers are developed with the limit object being characterized in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Michael A. Kouritzin , Khoa Lê , Deniz Sezer

By the methods of multitype branching processes in random environment counted by random characteristics we study the tail distribution of busy periods and some other characteristics of the branching type polling systems in which the service…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-07 Vladimir Vatutin

We consider the limiting extremal process ${\mathcal X}$ of the particles of the binary branching Brownian motion. We show that after a shift by the logarithm of the derivative martingale $Z$, the rescaled "density" of particles, which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Leonid Mytnik , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Lenya Ryzhik

Population-size dependent branching processes (PSDBP) and controlled branching processes (CBP) are two classes of branching processes widely used to model biological populations that exhibit logistic growth. In this paper we develop…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We prove the existence and pathwise uniqueness of the solution to a stochastic integral equation driven by Poisson random measures based on Kuznetsov measures for a continuous-state branching process. That gives a direct construction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Zenghu Li

We contribute a general and flexible framework to estimate the size of a closed population in the presence of $K$ capture-recapture lists and heterogeneous capture probabilities. Our novel identifying strategy leverages the fact that it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mateo Dulce Rubio , Edward Kennedy

In this article, we consider a branching random walk on the real-line where displacements coming from the same parent have jointly regularly varying tails. The genealogical structure is assumed to be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Ayan Bhattacharya