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We perform a parallel analysis of the spectral density of (i) the logarithm of price and (ii) the daily number of trades of a set of stocks traded in the New York Stock Exchange. The stocks are selected to be representative of a wide range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giovanni Bonanno , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a Boltzmann type price formation model, which describes the trading dynamics in a financial market. In many of these markets trading happens at high frequencies and low transactions costs.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Martin Burger , Luis Caffarelli , Peter A. Markowich , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Signals consisting of a sequence of pulses show that inherent origin of the 1/f noise is a Brownian fluctuation of the average interevent time between subsequent pulses of the pulse sequence. In this paper we generalize the model of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Vygintas Gontis , Bronislovas Kaulakys

In this study we examine the evolution of price, volume, and the bid-ask spread after extreme 15 minute intraday price changes on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find that due to strong behavioral trading there is an overreaction. Furthermore…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. G. Zawadowski , J. Kertesz , G. Andor

It is known that the impact of transactions on stock price (market impact) is a concave function of the size of the order, but there exists little quantitative theory that suggests why this is so. I develop a quantitative theory for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Austin Gerig

In this paper, the Kyle model of insider trading is extended by characterizing the trading volume with long memory and allowing the noise trading volatility to follow a general stochastic process. Under this newly revised model, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-08 Ben-zhang Yang , Xinjiang He , Nan-jing Huang

Equity options are known to be notoriously difficult to price accurately, and even with the development of established mathematical models there are many assumptions that must be made about the underlying processes driving market movements.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-24 Adam Wu

We study the intraday behaviour of the statistical moments of the trading volume of the blue chip equities that composed the Dow Jones Industrial Average index between 2003 and 2014. By splitting that time interval into semesters, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Michelle B Graczyk , Silvio M D Queirós

Cryptocurrencies have recently experienced a new wave of price volatility and interest; activity within social media communities relating to cryptocurrencies has increased significantly. There is currently limited documented knowledge of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Ross C. Phillips , Denise Gorse

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

During a speculative episode the price of an item jumps from an initial level p_1 to a peak level p_2 before more or less returning to level p_1. The ratio p_2/p_1 is referred to as the amplitude A of the peak. This paper shows that for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 B. M. Roehner

According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price-dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Juho Kanniainen , Robert Piché

We explore brokerage between traders in an online learning framework. At any round $t$, two traders meet to exchange an asset, provided the exchange is mutually beneficial. The broker proposes a trading price, and each trader tries to sell…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni

We consider a few quantities that characterize trading on a stock market in a fixed time interval: logarithmic returns, volatility, trading activity (i.e., the number of transactions), and volume traded. We search for the power-law…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Rafal Rak , Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

We present a model of financial markets originally proposed for a turbulent flow, as a dynamic basis of its intermittent behavior. Time evolution of the price change is assumed to be described by Brownian motion in a power-law potential,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Naoki Kozuki , Nobuko Fuchikami