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Bayesian data analysis is widely used across many disciplines, and representative examples in materials science include spectral analysis and sparse modeling. In such applications, the underlying models often become complex and yield…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

We present strong evidence for dynamical dark energy that challenges the standard $\Lambda$CDM model. Several dark energy scenarios are explored, including $\omega_0\omega_a$CDM, logarithmic, exponential, JBP, and BA parameterizations,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-11-18 Himanshu Chaudhary , Salvatore Capozziello , Subhrat Praharaj , Shibesh Kumar Jas Pacif , G. Mustafa

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

Recent astronomical observations have indicated that the Universe is in the phase of accelerated expansion. While there are many cosmological models which try to explain this phenomenon, we focus on the interacting $\Lambda$CDM model where…

Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-29 Marek Szydlowski , Adam Krawiec , Aleksandra Kurek , Michal Kamionka

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

Approximate Bayesian computation methods can be used to evaluate posterior distributions without having to calculate likelihoods. In this paper we discuss and apply an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) method based on sequential Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-15 Tina Toni , David Welch , Natalja Strelkowa , Andreas Ipsen , Michael P. H. Stumpf

The recent measurements of the power spectrum of Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies are consistent with the simplest inflationary scenario and big bang nucleosynthesis constraints. However, these results rely on the assumption of a…

The $\Lambda$ cold dark matter ($\Lambda\textrm{CDM}$) model is currently known as the simplest cosmology model that best describes observations with minimal number of parameters. Here we introduce a cosmology model that is preferred over…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-05 Chan-Gyung Park

We use the most recent type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) observations to perform a statistical comparison between the standard $\Lambda$CDM model and its extensions [$w$CDM and $w(z)$CDM] and some alternative cosmologies: namely, the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-20 B. Santos , N. Chandrachani Devi , J. S. Alcaniz

The results of joint analyses of available cosmological data have motivated an important debate about a possible detection of a non-zero spatial curvature. If confirmed, such a result would imply a change in our present understanding of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 Javier E. Gonzalez , Micol Benetti , Rodrigo von Marttens , Jailson Alcaniz

The assumption of a flat Universe that follows the cosmological principle, i.e., that the universe is statistically homogeneous and isotropic at large scales, comprises one of the core foundations of the standard cosmological model --…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-24 Mariana L. S. Dias , Antônio F. B. da Cunha , Carlos A. P. Bengaly , Rodrigo S. Gonçalves , Jonathan Morais

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

In this article, we describe a {\tt R} package for sampling from an empirical likelihood-based posterior using a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method. Empirical likelihood-based methodologies have been used in Bayesian modeling of many problems…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-09-07 Dang Trung Kien , Neo Han Wei , Sanjay Chaudhuri

Aims. Deriving accurate frequencies, amplitudes, and mode lifetimes from stochastically driven pulsation is challenging, more so, if one demands that realistic error estimates be given for all model fitting parameters. As has been shown by…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 M. Gruberbauer , T. Kallinger , W. W. Weiss , D. B. Guenther

This paper explores the versatility and depth of Bayesian modeling by presenting a comprehensive range of applications and methods, combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and variational approximations. Covering topics such as…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Bayesian (Probabilistic) Machine Learning is used to probe the opacity of the Universe. It relies on a generative process where the model is the key object to generate the data involving the unknown parameters of the model, our prior…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-17 Emilio Elizalde , Martiros Khurshudyan

We present an implementation of a Bayesian mixture model using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) techniques to search for spatial separation of Galactic dust populations. Utilizing intensity measurements from Planck High Frequency Instrument…

The standard model of cosmology, {\Lambda}CDM, is the simplest model that matches the current observations, but it relies on two hypothetical components, to wit, dark matter and dark energy. Future galaxy surveys and cosmic microwave…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-13 Cyrille Doux , Mariana Penna-Lima , Sandro D. P. Vitenti , Julien Tréguer , Eric Aubourg , Ken Ganga

We perform a Bayesian model selection analysis for different classes of phenomenological coupled scenarios of dark matter and dark energy with linear and non-linear interacting terms. We use a combination of some of the latest cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-08 Antonella Cid , Beethoven Santos , Cassio Pigozzo , Tassia Ferreira , Jailson Alcaniz
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