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Trial-based economic evaluations are typically performed on cross-sectional variables, derived from the responses for only the completers in the study, using methods that ignore the complexities of utility and cost data (e.g. skewness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Andrea Gabrio , Michael J. Daniels , Gianluca Baio

Prior to adjustment, accounting conditions between national accounts data sets are frequently violated. Benchmarking is the procedure used by economic agencies to make such data sets consistent. It typically involves adjusting a high…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Homesh Sayal , John A. D. Aston , Duncan Elliott , Hernando Ombao

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

Bayesian model-averaged meta-analysis allows quantification of evidence for both treatment effectiveness $\mu$ and across-study heterogeneity $\tau$. We use the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews to develop discipline-wide empirical…

Multiple imputation is a common approach for dealing with missing values in statistical databases. The imputer fills in missing values with draws from predictive models estimated from the observed data, resulting in multiple, completed…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-30 Olanrewaju Akande , Fan Li , Jerome Reiter

In-depth studies of sociotechnical systems are largely limited to single instances. Network surveys are expensive, and platforms vary in important ways, from interface design, to social norms, to historical contingencies. With single…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Abigail Z. Jacobs

This paper reviews recent developments in statistical structure learning; namely, Bayesian model reduction. Bayesian model reduction is a method for rapidly computing the evidence and parameters of probabilistic models that differ only in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Karl Friston , Thomas Parr , Peter Zeidman

The assessment of diversity and similarity is relevant in monitoring the status of ecosystems. The respective indicators are based on the taxonomic composition of biological communities of interest, currently estimated through the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Fabio Divino , Johanna Ärje , Antti Penttinen , Kristian Meissner , Salme Kärkkäinen

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Process mining has gained traction over the past decade and an impressive body of research has resulted in the introduction of a variety of process mining approaches measuring process performance. Having this set of techniques available,…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Fredrik Milani , Fabrizio M. Maggi

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

With the industry trend of shifting from a traditional hierarchical approach to flatter management structure, crowdsourced performance assessment gained mainstream popularity. One fundamental challenge of crowdsourced performance assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Yifei Huang , Matt Shum , Xi Wu , Jason Zezhong Xiao

Statistics comes in two main flavors: frequentist and Bayesian. For historical and technical reasons, frequentist statistics has dominated data analysis in the past; but Bayesian statistics is making a comeback at the forefront of science.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Carlo A. Furia

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Analyzing and understanding the structure of complex relational data is important in many applications including analysis of the connectivity in the human brain. Such networks can have prominent patterns on different scales, calling for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-22 Mikkel N. Schmidt , Tue Herlau , Morten Mørup

We congratulate the authors for a stimulating and valuable manuscript, providing a careful review of the state-of the-art in cross-sectional and time-series benchmarking procedures for small area estimation. They develop a novel two-stage…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-05-27 Rebecca C. Steorts , M. Delores Ugarte

Rank aggregation based on pairwise comparisons over a set of items has a wide range of applications. Although considerable research has been devoted to the development of rank aggregation algorithms, one basic question is how to efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-22 Xi Chen , Kevin Jiao , Qihang Lin

The combination of Monte Carlo tree search and neural networks has revolutionized online planning. As neural network approximations are often imperfect, we ask whether uncertainty estimates about the network outputs could be used to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nir Greshler , David Ben Eli , Carmel Rabinovitz , Gabi Guetta , Liran Gispan , Guy Zohar , Aviv Tamar

A hierarchical Bayesian framework is introduced for developing tree-based mixture models for time series, partly motivated by applications in finance and forecasting. At the top level, meaningful discrete states are identified as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis
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