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Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens

Real-valued time series are ubiquitous in the sciences and engineering. In this work, a general, hierarchical Bayesian modelling framework is developed for building mixture models for times series. This development is based, in part, on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Optimising black-box functions is important in many disciplines, such as tuning machine learning models, robotics, finance and mining exploration. Bayesian optimisation is a state-of-the-art technique for the global optimisation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-05 John-Alexander M. Assael , Ziyu Wang , Bobak Shahriari , Nando de Freitas

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

The emergence of online enterprises spread across continents have given rise to the need for expert identification in this domain. Scenarios that includes the intention of the employer to find tacit expertise and knowledge of an employee…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Saba Mahmood , Anwar Ghani , Ali Daud , Syed Muhammad Saqlain

Data mining has been applied in various areas because of its ability to rapidly analyze vast amounts of data. This study is to build the Graduates Employment Model using classification task in data mining, and to compare several of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Bangsuk Jantawan , Cheng-Fa Tsai

We propose an unsupervised approach for linking records across arbitrarily many files, while simultaneously detecting duplicate records within files. Our key innovation involves the representation of the pattern of links between records as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Rebecca C. Steorts , Rob Hall , Stephen E. Fienberg

Tree-based models have proven to be an effective solution for web ranking as well as other problems in diverse domains. This paper focuses on optimizing the runtime performance of applying such models to make predictions, given an…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-04-29 Nima Asadi , Jimmy Lin , Arjen P. de Vries

Benchmarking functionalities in current commercial process mining tools allow organizations to contextualize their process performance through high-level performance indicators, such as completion rate or throughput time. However, they do…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Luka Abb , Majid Rafiei , Timotheus Kampik , Jana-Rebecca Rehse

Graph-structured data is prevalent in domains such as social networks, financial transactions, brain networks, and protein interactions. As a result, the research community has produced new databases and analytics engines to process such…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Puneet Mehrotra , Vaastav Anand , Daniel Margo , Milad Rezaei Hajidehi , Margo Seltzer

An accurate qualitative and comprehensive assessment of human potential is one of the most important challenges in any company or collective. We apply Bayesian networks for developing more accurate overall estimations of psychological…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Natalya Litvinenko , Orken Mamyrbayev

In public opinion studies, the relationships between opinions on different topics are likely to shift based on the characteristics of the respondents. Thus, understanding the complexities of public opinion requires methods that can account…

Latent tree analysis seeks to model the correlations among a set of random variables using a tree of latent variables. It was proposed as an improvement to latent class analysis --- a method widely used in social sciences and medicine to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Nevin L. Zhang , Leonard K. M. Poon

Benchmark workloads are extremely important to the database management research community, especially as more machine learning components are integrated into database systems. Here, we propose a Bayesian optimization technique to…

Peer grading systems aggregate noisy reports from multiple students to approximate a true grade as closely as possible. Most current systems either take the mean or median of reported grades; others aim to estimate students' grading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Hedayat Zarkoob , Greg d'Eon , Lena Podina , Kevin Leyton-Brown

Determining which organizations are more effective in implementing an intervention program is essential for theoretically and empirically characterizing exemplary practice and for intervening to enhance the capacity of ineffective ones. Yet…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-18 Guanglei Hong , Jonah Deutsch , Peter Kress , Jose Eos Trinidad , Zhengyan Xu

AB testing aids business operators with their decision making, and is considered the gold standard method for learning from data to improve digital user experiences. However, there is usually a gap between the requirements of practitioners,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Srivas Chennu , Andrew Maher , Christian Pangerl , Subash Prabanantham , Jae Hyeon Bae , Jamie Martin , Bud Goswami