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Ordered pivotal sampling is one of the simplest algorithm to perform without-replacement unequal probability sampling. It has found uses in the context of longitudinal surveys and spatial sampling, and enables in particular a good spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Guillaume Chauvet

In this paper, we establish a version of the central limit theorem for Markov-Feller continuous time processes (with a Polish state space) that are exponentially ergodic in the bounded-Lipschitz distance and enjoy a continuous form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

We study weak convergence of empirical processes of dependent data $(X_i)_{i\geq0}$, indexed by classes of functions. Our results are especially suitable for data arising from dynamical systems and Markov chains, where the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

In this paper we give sufficient conditions for the almost sure central limit theorem started at a point, known under the name of quenched central limit theorem. This is achieved by using a new idea of conditioning with respect to both the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Magda Peligrad

We derive a functional limit theorem for the partial maxima process based on a long memory stationary $\alpha$-stable process. The length of memory in the stable process is parameterized by a certain ergodic-theoretical parameter in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

There has been recent interest in the conditional central limit question for (strictly) stationary, ergodic processes $...,X_{-1},X_0,X_1,...$ whose partial sums $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$ are of the form $S_n=M_n+R_n$, where $M_n$ is a square…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let $V^2$ be its normalized quadratic variation. As $V^2$ approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

The contribution of this paper is to introduce change of measure based techniques for the rare-event analysis of heavy-tailed stochastic processes. Our changes-of-measure are parameterized by a family of distributions admitting a mixture…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

In this paper, we are concerned with centered Markov Additive Processes $\{(X_t,Y_t)\}_{t\in\T}$ where the driving Markov process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\T}$ has a finite state space. Under suitable conditions, we provide a local limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

We study a mutliscale jump process introduced in a work by Crudu, Debussche, Muller and Radulescu. Using an adequate coupling, we are able to prove the strong convergence, for the uniform topology, to a piecewise deterministic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Baptiste Nicolas Huguet

We present an adaptation of Stein's method of normal approximation to the study of both discrete- and continuous-time dynamical systems. We obtain new correlation-decay conditions on dynamical systems for a multivariate central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

Slow mixing is the central hurdle when working with Markov chains, especially those used for Monte Carlo approximations (MCMC). In many applications, it is only of interest to estimate the stationary expectations of a small set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Maxim Rabinovich , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright

For a stationary sequence of random variables we derive a self-normalized functional limit theorem under joint regular variation with index $\alpha \in (0,2)$ and weak dependence conditions. The convergence takes place in the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Danijel Krizmanic

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper, we extend the central limit theorem of the additive functional of the nearest-neighbor zero-range process given in \cite{Quastel2002} to the long-range case. Our main results show that in several cases the limit processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Xue Xiaofeng
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