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We consider the problem of belief aggregation: given a group of individual agents with probabilistic beliefs over a set of uncertain events, formulate a sensible consensus or aggregate probability distribution over these events. Researchers…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David M. Pennock , Michael P. Wellman

In a financial exchange, market impact is a measure of the price change of an asset following a transaction. This is an important element of market microstructure, which determines the behaviour of the market following a trade. In this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Christopher J. Cho , Timothy J. Norman , Manuel Nunes

In this paper we explore optimal liquidation in a market populated by a number of heterogeneous market makers that have limited inventory-carrying and risk-bearing capacity. We derive a reduced form model for the dynamic of their aggregated…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-01 Marina Di Giacinto , Claudio Tebaldi , Tai-Ho Wang

We discuss a method for predicting financial movements and finding pockets of predictability in the price-series, which is built around inferring the heterogeneity of trading strategies in a multi-agent trader population. This work explores…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Nachi Gupta , Raphael Hauser , Neil F. Johnson

We construct an utility-based dynamic asset pricing model for a limit order market. The price is nonlinear in volume and subject to market impact. We solve an optimal hedging problem under the market impact and derive the dynamics of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-31 Masaaki Fukasawa

We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns. In the model synchronization effects, which generate large fluctuations in returns, can arise either from an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori

We consider a model of linear market impact, and address the problem of replicating a contingent claim in this framework. We derive a non-linear Black-Scholes Equation that provides an exact replication strategy. This equation is fully…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-15 Gregoire Loeper

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

We investigate asymmetry of information in the context of robust approach to pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. We consider two agents, one who only observes the stock prices and another with some additional information, and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-02 Anna Aksamit , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obłój

We consider a market impact game for $n$ risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Xiangge Luo , Alexander Schied

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

AI stocks trade at extraordinary valuations. We develop an asset pricing model in which investors use AI stocks to hedge against an AI singularity that displaces their consumption. Because markets are incomplete -- investors cannot trade…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-21 Andrew Y. Chen

We consider a stochastic game between a trader and a central bank in a target zone market with a lower currency peg. This currency peg is maintained by the central bank through the generation of permanent price impact, thereby aggregating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Eyal Neuman , Alexander Schied

We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Ilia Shilov , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Busic

We consider as given a discrete time financial market with a risky asset and options written on that asset and determine both the sub- and super-hedging prices of an American option in the model independent framework of ArXiv:1305.6008. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

In this paper we study the implications of contingent payments on the clearing wealth in a network model of financial contagion. We consider an extension of the Eisenberg-Noe financial contagion model in which the nominal interbank…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-14 Tathagata Banerjee , Zachary Feinstein

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

We present a perturbation theory of the market impact based on an extension of the framework proposed by [Loeper, 2018] -- originally based on [Liu and Yong, 2005] -- in which we consider only local linear market impact. We study the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 Emilio Said

We investigate a pricing rule that is applicable for streams of income or contingent claim liabilities and study how this rule changes under additional insider-type information that an investor might obtain. Considering a model where the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-15 Philip A. Ernst , Oleksii Mostovyi

In both finance and economics, quantitative models are usually studied as isolated mathematical objects --- most often defined by very strong simplifying assumptions concerning rationality, efficiency and the existence of disequilibrium…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-04 Harbir Lamba