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Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Dealers make money by providing liquidity to clients but face flow uncertainty and thus price risk. They can efficiently skew their prices and wait for clients to mitigate risk (internalization), or trade with other dealers in the open…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

We study superreplication of European contingent claims in discrete time in a large trader model with market indifference prices recently proposed by Bank and Kramkov. We introduce a suitable notion of efficient friction in this framework,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-14 Peter Bank , Selim Gökay

We construct a model of an exchange economy in which agents trade assets contingent on an observable signal, the probability of which depends on public opinion. The agents in our model are replaced occasionally and each person updates…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-28 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Roger Farmer

In Electricity markets, illiquidity, transaction costs and market price characteristics prevent managers to replicate exactly contracts. A residual risk is always present and the hedging strategy depends on a risk criterion chosen. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-29 Xavier Warin

We mathematically analyze a simple market model where trading at each point in time involves only two agents with the sum of their money being conserved and with neither parties resulting with negative money after the interaction process.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Arnab Das , Sudhakar Yarlagadda

In this paper, we study the exponential utility indifference pricing of pure endowment policies within a stochastic-factor model for an insurer who also invests in a financial market. Our framework incorporates a hazard rate modeled as an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-30 Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

We propose indifference pricing to estimate the value of the weak information. Our framework allows for tractability, quantifying the amount of additional information, and permits the description of the smallness and the stability with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 Fabrice Baudoin , Oleksii Mostovyi

How to price and hedge claims on nontraded assets are becoming increasingly important matters in option pricing theory today. The most common practice to deal with these issues is to use another similar or "closely related" asset or index…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Marcelo J. Villena , Axel A. Araneda

In this work we present an equilibrium formulation for price impacts. This is motivated by the Buhlmann equilibrium in which assets are sold into a system of market participants, e.g. a fire sale in systemic risk, and can be viewed as a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We study equilibria of markets with $m$ heterogeneous indivisible goods and $n$ consumers with combinatorial preferences. It is well known that a competitive equilibrium is not guaranteed to exist when valuations are not gross substitutes.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-04 Shahar Dobzinski , Michal Feldman , Inbal Talgam-Cohen , Omri Weinstein

We formulate a continuous-time competitive equilibrium model of irreversible capacity investment in which a continuum of heterogeneous producers supplies a single non-durable good subject to exogenous stochastic demand. Each producer…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Constantinos Kardaras , Alexandros Pavlis , Mihail Zervos

In dealer markets, dealers provide prices at which they agree to buy and sell the assets and securities they have in their scope. With ever increasing trading volume, this quoting task has to be done algorithmically in most markets such as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

This paper considers utility indifference valuation of derivatives under model uncertainty and trading constraints, where the utility is formulated as an additive stochastic differential utility of both intertemporal consumption and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-26 Huiwen Yan , Gechun Liang , Zhou Yang

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

We present a methodology for representing probabilistic relationships in a general-equilibrium economic model. Specifically, we define a precise mapping from a Bayesian network with binary nodes to a market price system where consumers and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David M. Pennock , Michael P. Wellman

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

We propose a hedging approach for general contingent claims when liquidity is a concern and trading is subject to transaction cost. Multiple assets with different liquidity levels are available for hedging. Our risk criterion targets a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-02 Panagiotis Christodoulou , Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta
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