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These lecture notes consist of three chapters. In the first chapter we present oracle inequalities for the prediction error of the Lasso and square-root Lasso and briefly describe the scaled Lasso. In the second chapter we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Sara van de Geer

We consider statistical learning question for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes, that unifies a large class of weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association,$\cdots$ The consistency of the empirical risk minimization algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

Learning, whether natural or artificial, is a process of selection. It starts with a set of candidate options and selects the more successful ones. In the case of machine learning the selection is done based on empirical estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Yevgeny Seldin

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

In the multidimensional setting, we consider the errors-in-variables model. We aim at estimating the unknown nonparametric multivariate regression function with errors in the covariates. We devise an adaptive estimator based on projection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Michaël Chichignoud , Van Ha Hoang , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc , Vincent Rivoirard

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

We propose a novel framework for fitting additive quantile regression models, which provides well calibrated inference about the conditional quantiles and fast automatic estimation of the smoothing parameters, for model structures as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 M. Fasiolo , S. N. Wood , M. Zaffran , R. Nedellec , Y. Goude

We develop estimation and inference methods for a stylized macroeconomic model with potentially multiple behavioural equilibria, where agents form expectations using a constant-gain learning rule. We first show geometric ergodicity of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Alexander Mayer , Davide Raggi

Model averaging has gained significant attention in recent years due to its ability of fusing information from different models. The critical challenge in frequentist model averaging is the choice of weight vector. The bootstrap method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Minghui Song , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

This paper presents a new method for spatially adaptive local (constant) likelihood estimation which applies to a broad class of nonparametric models, including the Gaussian, Poisson and binary response models. The main idea of the method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Spokoiny

We study logistic regression with total variation penalty on the canonical parameter and show that the resulting estimator satisfies a sharp oracle inequality: the excess risk of the estimator is adaptive to the number of jumps of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Sara van de Geer

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

In one-dimensional density estimation on i.i.d. observations we suggest an adaptive cross-validation technique for the selection of a kernel estimator. This estimator is both asymptotic MISE-efficient with respect to the monotone oracle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Clementine Dalelane

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation under $\bL_p$-loss, $p\in [1,\infty)$, in the framework of the convolution structure density model on $\bR^d$. This observation scheme is a generalization of two classical statistical models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-17 Oleg Lepski , Thomas Willer

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

We introduce a novel generative formulation of deep probabilistic models implementing "soft" constraints on their function dynamics. In particular, we develop a flexible methodological framework where the modeled functions and derivatives…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone

A two-class mixture model, where the density of one of the components is known, is considered. We address the issue of the nonparametric adaptive estimation of the unknown probability density of the second component. We propose a randomly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Gaelle Chagny , Antoine Channarond , Van Ha Hoang , Angelina Roche

This paper examines estimation of skill formation models, a critical component in understanding human capital development and its effects on individual outcomes. Existing estimators are either based on moment conditions and only applicable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-28 Antonia Antweiler , Joachim Freyberger

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas
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