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In this paper for the first time the nonparametric autoregression estimation problem for the quadratic risks is considered. To this end we develop a new adaptive sequential model selection method based on the efficient sequential kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We consider the problem of constructing an adaptive bridge regression modeling, which is a penalized procedure by imposing different weights to different coefficients in the bridge penalty term. A crucial issue in the modeling process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Shuichi Kawano

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

We consider nonparametric inference of finite dimensional, potentially non-pathwise differentiable target parameters. In a nonparametric model, some examples of such parameters that are always non pathwise differentiable target parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Aurelien F. Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

We study logistic regression with total variation penalty on the canonical parameter and show that the resulting estimator satisfies a sharp oracle inequality: the excess risk of the estimator is adaptive to the number of jumps of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Sara van de Geer

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems defined by conditional moment restrictions. Existing regularized estimators such as Regularized DeepIV (RDIV) require prior knowledge of the smoothness of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jiyuan Tan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A regularization algorithm allowing random noise in derivatives and inexact function values is proposed for computing approximate local critical points of any order for smooth unconstrained optimization problems. For an objective function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-07 S. Bellavia , G. Gurioli , B. Morini , Ph. L. Toint

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations assign a posterior measure to the solution of an initial value problem. The joint covariance of this distribution provides an estimate of the (global) approximation error. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Nathanael Bosch , Philipp Hennig , Filip Tronarp

We study an adaptive estimation procedure called the Goldenshluger-Lepski method in the context of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression. Adaptive estimation provides a way of selecting tuning parameters for statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Stephen Page , Steffen Grünewälder

Decisions under uncertainty or with multiple objectives usually require the decision maker to formulate a preference regarding risks or trade-offs. If this preference is known, the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) criterion can be applied…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Werner Baak , Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch

We make an observation that facilitates exact likelihood-based inference for the parameters of the popular ARFIMA model without requiring stationarity by allowing the upper bound $\bar{d}$ for the memory parameter $d$ to exceed $0.5$:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Maryclare Griffin , Gennady Samorodnitsky , David S. Matteson

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

The performance of standard stochastic approximation implementations can vary significantly based on the choice of the steplength sequence, and in general, little guidance is provided about good choices. Motivated by this gap, in the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Farzad Yousefian , Angelia Nedić , Uday V. Shanbhag

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of a circular regression function in an errors-in-variables framework. Two settings are studied, depending on whether the covariates are circular or linear. Adaptive estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Tien Dat Nguyen , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

We consider a framework for the construction of iterative schemes for operator equations that combine low-rank approximation in tensor formats and adaptive approximation in a basis. Under fairly general assumptions, we obtain a rigorous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Markus Bachmayr , Wolfgang Dahmen

The estimation law of unknown parameters vector ${\theta}$ is proposed for one class of nonlinearly parametrized regression equations $y\left( t \right) = \Omega \left( t \right)\Theta \left( \theta \right)$. We restrict our attention to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov