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Consider a Markov chain on an infinite tree T=(V,E) rooted at \rho. In such a chain, once the initial root state \sigma(\rho) is chosen, each vertex iteratively chooses its state from the one of its parent by an application of a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Svante Janson , Elchanan Mossel

A major task of evolutionary biology is the reconstruction of phylogenetic trees from molecular data. The evolutionary model is given by a Markov chain on a tree. Given samples from the leaves of the Markov chain, the goal is to reconstruct…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-30 Constantinos Daskalakis , Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

We establish necessary and sufficient conditions for consistent root reconstruction in continuous-time Markov models with countable state space on bounded-height trees. Here a root state estimator is said to be consistent if the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Sebastien Roch

It is known that the Kesten-Stigum reconstruction bound is tight for roughly symmetric binary channels. In this paper, we will adopt a refined analysis of moment recursion on a weighted version of the magnetization, which is engaged in Sly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Wenjian Liu , Ning Ning

In this paper we consider the reconstruction problem on the tree for the hardcore model. We determine new bounds for the non-reconstruction regime on the k-regular tree showing non-reconstruction when lambda < (ln 2-o(1))ln^2(k)/(2 lnln(k))…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-24 Nayantara Bhatnagar , Allan Sly , Prasad Tetali

We investigate the mixed spin-$(s,\tfrac12)$ Ising model on a Cayley tree of order three ($k=3$), extending the approach of \cite{Akin2024}. For the representative case $s=5$, the associated recursion leads to an 11-dimensional dynamical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-02-17 Hasan Akin

We consider the branch-length estimation problem on a bifurcating tree: a character evolves along the edges of a binary tree according to a two-state symmetric Markov process, and we seek to recover the edge transition probabilities from…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch

The study of Markov processes and broadcasting on trees has deep connections to a variety of areas including statistical physics, graphical models, phylogenetic reconstruction, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, and community detection in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Frederic Koehler , Elchanan Mossel

We study (plane) tree-valued Markov chains $(T_n,n \geq 1)$ with uniform backward dynamics and show that they can be obtained by sampling from a real tree. As non--plane trees, every such Markov chain is represented by a weighted real tree.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 David Geldbach

The reconstruction problem on the tree has been studied in numerous contexts including statistical physics, information theory and computational biology. However, rigorous reconstruction thresholds have only been established in a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-10 Allan Sly

In [Aldous,Pitman,1998] a tree-valued Markov chain is derived by pruning off more and more subtrees along the edges of a Galton-Watson tree. More recently, in [Abraham,Delmas,2012], a continuous analogue of the tree-valued pruning dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-26 Wolfgang Löhr , Guillaume Voisin , Anita Winter

We give a criterion of the form Q(d)c(M)<1 for the non-reconstructability of tree-indexed q-state Markov chains obtained by broadcasting a signal from the root with a given transition matrix M. Here c(M) is an explicit function, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-18 M. Formentin , C. Kuelske

Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard

Random spanning trees are among the most prominent determinantal point processes. We give four examples of random spanning trees on ladder-like graphs whose rungs form stationary renewal processes or regenerative processes of order two,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Achim Klenke

This work builds upon the recent monograph [5] on self-similar Markov trees. A self-similar Markov tree is a random real tree equipped with a function from the tree to $[0,\infty)$ that we call the decoration. Here, we construct local time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Jean Bertoin , Armand Riera , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

Motivated by the theory of spin-glasses in physics, we study the so-called reconstruction problem for the related distributions on the tree, and on the sparse random graph $G(n,d/n)$. Both cases, reduce naturally to studying broadcasting…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Charilaos Efthymiou , Kostas Zampetakis

We study the maximal Steklov eigenvalues of trees with given number of boundary vertices and total number of vertices. Trees can be regarded as discrete analogue of Hadamard manifolds, namely simply-connected Riemannian manifolds of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Huiqiu Lin , Da Zhao

R\'emy's algorithm is a Markov chain that iteratively generates a sequence of random trees in such a way that the $n^{\mathrm{th}}$ tree is uniformly distributed over the set of rooted, planar, binary trees with $2n+1$ vertices. We obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Steven N. Evans , Rudolf Grübel , Anton Wakolbinger

This paper is a variation on the uniform spanning tree theme. We use random spanning forests to solve the following problem: for a Markov process on a finite set of size $n$, find a probability law on the subsets of any given size $m \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Luca Avena , Alexandre Gaudillière

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees. Substitutions in sequences are modelled through a continuous-time Markov process, characterised by an instantaneous rate matrix, which standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-20 Naomi E. Hannaford , Sarah E. Heaps , Tom M. W. Nye , Tom A. Williams , T. Martin Embley
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