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It is generally accepted that the asset price processes contain jumps. In fact, pure jump models have been widely used to model asset prices and/or stochastic volatilities. The question is: is there any statistical evidence from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Bing-Yi Jing , Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu

A partially observed jump diffusion $Z=(X_t,Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ given by a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures is considered when the coefficients of the equation satisfy appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Alexander Davie , Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

Random walk has wide applications in many fields, such as machine learning, biology, physics, and chemistry. Random walk can be discrete or continuous in time and space. Asymmetric random walk could be described by drift-diffusion equation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-01 Guoxing Lin , Shaokun Zheng

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos

We derive a universal, exact asymptotic form of the splitting probability for symmetric continuous jump processes, which quantifies the probability $ \pi_{0,\underline{x}}(x_0)$ that the process crosses $x$ before 0 starting from a given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-12 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

Consider a system $X = ((x_\xi(t)), \xi \in \Omega_N)_{t \geq 0}$ of interacting Fleming-Viot diffusions with mutation and selection which is a strong Markov process with continuous paths and state space $(\CP(\I))^{\Omega_N}$, where $\I$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Stefano Iacus , Masayuki Uchida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

It is common practice to treat small jumps of L\'evy processes as Wiener noise and thus to approximate its marginals by a Gaussian distribution. However, results that allow to quantify the goodness of this approximation according to a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Alexandra Carpentier , Céline Duval , Ester Mariucci

We study a discrete-time random walk on the non-negative integers, such that when 0 is reached a jump occurs to an arbitrary location, with given probabilities. We obtain an asymptotic formula for the expected position at large times, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-01 Guy Katriel

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

A collaborative distributed binary decision problem is considered. Two statisticians are required to declare the correct probability measure of two jointly distributed memoryless process, denoted by $X^n=(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Gil Katz , Pablo Piantanida , Merouane Debbah

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

We consider a discrete-time process adapted to some filtration which lives on a (typically countable) subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. For this process, we assume that it has uniformly bounded jumps, is uniformly elliptic (can advance…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

We consider the problem of locating a jump discontinuity (change-point) in a smooth parametric regression model with a bounded covariate. It is assumed that one can sample the covariate at different values and measure the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Yan Lan , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar